Championship· Regular Season - 46· Fratton Park
Portsmouth
Birmingham1-1
FT
Portsmouth vs Birmingham Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 2 May 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Portsmouth vs Birmingham tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Portsmouth +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.08 | - |
| 1XPortsmouth or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 71% | 1.40 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Birmingham +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 69% | 1.44 | - |
| X2Birmingham or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 51% | 1.96 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.97 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.03 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 49% | 2.05 | - |
| 1Portsmouth to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Portsmouth -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 31% | 3.27 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 29% | 3.50 | - |
| 2Birmingham to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Birmingham -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 13.61 | - |
Portsmouth vs Birmingham preview & analysis
Match preview
Portsmouth host Birmingham in the Championship (Regular Season - 46) at Fratton Park on Saturday, 2 May 2026, with kick-off at 11:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 4 meetings between these sides, Portsmouth have won 2, Birmingham have won 2 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 3.3 goals, and both teams scored in 1 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Portsmouth narrow favourites: Portsmouth 44%, draw 38%, Birmingham 18%. We expect around 2.7 goals (1.7 - 1.0 in expected goals), with 51% for over 2.5 and 51% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Coventry | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | +52 | 95 |
| 2 |  Ipswich | 46 | 23 | 15 | 8 | +33 | 84 |
| 3 |  Millwall | 46 | 24 | 11 | 11 | +15 | 83 |
| 4 |  Southampton | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | +26 | 80 |
| 8 |  Derby | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | +8 | 69 |
| 9 |  Norwich | 46 | 19 | 8 | 19 | +7 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | +1 | 64 |
| 11 |  Swansea | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | -2 | 64 |
| 12 |  Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 0 | 62 |
| 16 |  Watford | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | -12 | 57 |
| 17 |  Stoke City | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | -5 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | -15 | 55 |
| 19 |  Charlton | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | -14 | 53 |
| 20 |  Blackburn | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | -14 | 52 |
Portsmouth vs Birmingham: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Portsmouth vs Birmingham?
+
Portsmouth are favourites. Our model gives Portsmouth a 44% chance of winning, Birmingham 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Portsmouth vs Birmingham?
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We rate both teams to score at 51%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Portsmouth vs Birmingham kick off?
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Portsmouth vs Birmingham kicks off at 11:30 UTC on Saturday, 2 May 2026 at Fratton Park, Portsmouth.
