Championship· Regular Season - 46· Pride Park
Derby
Sheffield Utd1-2
FT
Derby vs Sheffield Utd Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 2 May 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Derby vs Sheffield Utd tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Derby +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 86% | 1.17 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Sheffield Utd +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 78% | 1.28 | - |
| 1XDerby or Draw | 70% | 1.44 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 67% | 1.49 | - |
| X2Sheffield Utd or Draw | 62% | 1.61 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 58% | 1.72 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 1.80 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 45% | 2.24 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 42% | 2.40 | - |
| 1Derby to win | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 33% | 3.03 | - |
| XDraw | 32% | 3.14 | - |
| 2Sheffield Utd to win | 30% | 3.29 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Derby -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 22% | 4.63 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Sheffield Utd -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 14% | 7.00 | - |
Derby vs Sheffield Utd preview & analysis
Match preview
Derby host Sheffield Utd in the Championship (Regular Season - 46) at Pride Park on Saturday, 2 May 2026, with kick-off at 11:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Derby have won 2, Sheffield Utd have won 4 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 2.2 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Derby narrow favourites: Derby 38%, draw 32%, Sheffield Utd 30%. We expect around 2.9 goals (1.6 - 1.3 in expected goals), with 55% for over 2.5 and 58% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Coventry | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | +52 | 95 |
| 2 |  Ipswich | 46 | 23 | 15 | 8 | +33 | 84 |
| 3 |  Millwall | 46 | 24 | 11 | 11 | +15 | 83 |
| 4 |  Southampton | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | +26 | 80 |
| 6 |  Hull City | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | +4 | 73 |
| 7 |  Wrexham | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | +4 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | +8 | 69 |
| 9 |  Norwich | 46 | 19 | 8 | 19 | +7 | 65 |
| 10 |  Birmingham | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | +1 | 64 |
| 11 |  Swansea | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | -2 | 64 |
| 12 |  Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 0 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield Utd | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 0 | 60 |
| 14 |  Preston | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | -7 | 60 |
| 15 |  QPR | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | -12 | 58 |
Derby vs Sheffield Utd: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Derby vs Sheffield Utd?
+
Derby are favourites. Our model gives Derby a 38% chance of winning, Sheffield Utd 30%, and the draw 32%.
Will both teams score in Derby vs Sheffield Utd?
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We rate both teams to score at 58%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Derby vs Sheffield Utd kick off?
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Derby vs Sheffield Utd kicks off at 11:30 UTC on Saturday, 2 May 2026 at Pride Park, Derby.
