MLS· Regular Season - 28· Talen Energy Stadium
Philadelphia Union
Real Salt Lake2-1
FT
Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 11 October 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
More Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Philadelphia Union +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 98% | 1.02 | - |
| 1XPhiladelphia Union or Draw | 88% | 1.14 | 1.10 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 69% | 1.46 | - |
| 1Philadelphia Union to win | 66% | 1.51 | 1.35 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 59% | 1.71 | 1.57 |
| AH1 -1.5Philadelphia Union -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 58% | 1.71 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 52% | 1.93 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 48% | 2.08 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Real Salt Lake +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 42% | 2.40 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 41% | 2.41 | 2.25 |
| X2Real Salt Lake or Draw | 34% | 2.97 | 3.00 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 31% | 3.20 | - |
| XDraw | 22% | 4.63 | 5.80 |
| 2Real Salt Lake to win | 12% | 8.24 | 7.80 |
| AH2 -1.5Real Salt Lake -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 2% | 46.17 | - |
Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.33 | 5.00 | 6.50 | - | - | 1.57 | 2.25 |
| Dafabet | 1.35 | 5.80 | 7.80 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 1.36 | 5.00 | 8.00 | 1.40 | 2.88 | 1.62 | 2.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.35 | 5.15 | 7.10 | 1.33 | 2.81 | 1.56 | 2.24 |
| Betfair | 1.33 | 5.50 | 8.00 | 1.36 | 3.10 | 1.57 | 2.38 |
| BetVictor | 1.30 | 5.50 | 8.00 | 1.33 | 3.10 | 1.57 | 2.25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.35 | 5.88 | 7.87 | 1.37 | 3.21 | - | - |
| SBO | 1.33 | 5.03 | 6.47 | - | - | - | - |
| Betano | 1.37 | 5.70 | 8.25 | 1.42 | 2.95 | 1.65 | 2.15 |
Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake preview & analysis
Match preview
Philadelphia Union host Real Salt Lake in the MLS (Regular Season - 28) at Talen Energy Stadium on Sunday, 11 October 2026, with kick-off at 23:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Philadelphia Union arrive in superb form, with 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat Orlando City SC 4-2 at home. Real Salt Lake are struggling for results, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 9. Most recently they beat New England Revolution 3-0 at home. They're 11th in the table with 32 points from 28 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Philadelphia Union have won 1, Real Salt Lake have won 4 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 3.7 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Philadelphia Union clear favourites: Philadelphia Union 66%, draw 22%, Real Salt Lake 12%. We expect around 3.5 goals (2.8 - 0.8 in expected goals), with 69% for over 2.5 and 59% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Philadelphia Union- 27 SeptHOrlando City SC4-2
- 20 SeptASporting Kansas City4-3
- 14 SeptASan Diego5-0
- 10 SeptHFC Cincinnati5-0
- 6 SeptHCF Montreal2-0
Real Salt Lake- 27 SeptHNew England Revolution3-0
- 24 SeptASeattle Sounders0-2
- 20 SeptHVancouver Whitecaps0-3
- 13 SeptHNew York City FC0-2
- 10 SeptAHouston Dynamo1-2
Head to head
MLS table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | +31 | 51 |
| 2 |  St. Louis City | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | +16 | 50 |
| 3 |  FC Dallas | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | +7 | 47 |
| 4 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | +10 | 46 |
| 5 |  Houston Dynamo | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | +2 | 45 |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | +13 | 42 |
| 7 |  Seattle Sounders | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | +3 | 41 |
| 8 |  Colorado Rapids | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 0 | 37 |
| 9 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | -11 | 36 |
| 10 |  Portland Timbers | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | -3 | 33 |
| 11 | Real Salt Lake | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | -5 | 32 |
| 12 |  San Diego | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | -3 | 32 |
| 13 |  Austin | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | -15 | 31 |
| 14 |  Minnesota United FC | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | -9 | 30 |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | -33 | 22 |
Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake?
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Philadelphia Union are favourites. Our model gives Philadelphia Union a 66% chance of winning, Real Salt Lake 12%, and the draw 22%.
Will both teams score in Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake?
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We rate both teams to score at 59%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake kick off?
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Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake kicks off at 23:30 UTC on Sunday, 11 October 2026 at Talen Energy Stadium, Philadelphia.
