MLS· Regular Season - 28· Sports Illustrated Stadium
New York Red Bulls
San Diego4-1
FT
New York Red Bulls vs San Diego Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 11 October 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Fan vote
Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
Votes: 0How many goals?
Votes: 0Match probabilities
More New York Red Bulls vs San Diego tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5San Diego +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 83% | 1.20 | - |
| AH1 +1.5New York Red Bulls +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 75% | 1.33 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 71% | 1.41 | 1.30 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 71% | 1.42 | - |
| X2San Diego or Draw | 67% | 1.50 | 1.44 |
| 1XNew York Red Bulls or Draw | 60% | 1.65 | 1.53 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 51% | 1.97 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 49% | 2.03 | - |
| 2San Diego to win | 40% | 2.53 | 2.49 |
| 1New York Red Bulls to win | 33% | 3.02 | 2.60 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 29% | 3.40 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 29% | 3.45 | 3.20 |
| XDraw | 27% | 3.66 | 3.95 |
| AH2 -1.5San Diego -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 25% | 4.05 | - |
| AH1 -1.5New York Red Bulls -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 17% | 5.90 | - |
New York Red Bulls vs San Diego odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.45 | 3.60 | 2.40 | - | - | 1.30 | 3.20 |
| Dafabet | 2.60 | 3.95 | 2.49 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 2.55 | 3.80 | 2.50 | 1.33 | 3.40 | 1.33 | 3.25 |
| Marathonbet | 2.51 | 3.82 | 2.41 | 1.31 | 2.92 | 1.31 | 3.08 |
| Betfair | 2.55 | 4.10 | 2.38 | 1.33 | 3.25 | 1.33 | 3.25 |
| BetVictor | 2.50 | 4.00 | 2.40 | 1.30 | 3.30 | 1.29 | 3.25 |
| Pinnacle | 2.57 | 4.03 | 2.52 | 1.38 | 3.19 | - | - |
| SBO | 2.42 | 3.74 | 2.32 | - | - | - | - |
| Betano | 2.57 | 3.85 | 2.50 | 1.36 | 3.20 | 1.31 | 3.25 |
New York Red Bulls vs San Diego preview & analysis
Match preview
New York Red Bulls host San Diego in the MLS (Regular Season - 28) at Sports Illustrated Stadium on Sunday, 11 October 2026, with kick-off at 23:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
New York Red Bulls arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 2 and conceding 5. Most recently they lost to St. Louis City 0-3 at home. San Diego are struggling for results, with 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 14. Most recently they drew with Austin 3-3 away. They're 12th in the table with 32 points from 28 games.
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting between these sides, New York Red Bulls have won 0, San Diego have won 1 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 6.0 goals, and both teams scored in 0 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes San Diego narrow favourites: New York Red Bulls 33%, draw 27%, San Diego 40%. We expect around 3.6 goals (1.7 - 2.0 in expected goals), with 71% for over 2.5 and 71% for both teams to score.
Recent form
New York Red Bulls- 1 OctHSt. Louis City0-3
- 19 SeptANew York City FC1-0
- 13 SeptAColumbus Crew1-0
- 10 SeptALos Angeles FC0-2
- 6 SeptASeattle Sounders0-0
San Diego- 27 SeptAAustin3-3
- 21 SeptAInter Miami2-2
- 14 SeptHPhiladelphia Union0-5
- 10 SeptHSan Jose Earthquakes2-3
- 6 SeptAOrlando City SC0-1
Head to head
MLS table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | +31 | 51 |
| 2 |  St. Louis City | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | +16 | 50 |
| 3 |  FC Dallas | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | +7 | 47 |
| 4 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | +10 | 46 |
| 5 |  Houston Dynamo | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | +2 | 45 |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | +13 | 42 |
| 7 |  Seattle Sounders | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | +3 | 41 |
| 8 |  Colorado Rapids | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 0 | 37 |
| 9 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | -11 | 36 |
| 10 |  Portland Timbers | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | -3 | 33 |
| 11 |  Real Salt Lake | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | -5 | 32 |
| 12 | San Diego | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | -3 | 32 |
| 13 |  Austin | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | -15 | 31 |
| 14 |  Minnesota United FC | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | -9 | 30 |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | -33 | 22 |
New York Red Bulls vs San Diego: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win New York Red Bulls vs San Diego?
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San Diego are favourites. Our model gives New York Red Bulls a 33% chance of winning, San Diego 40%, and the draw 27%.
Will both teams score in New York Red Bulls vs San Diego?
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We rate both teams to score at 71%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does New York Red Bulls vs San Diego kick off?
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New York Red Bulls vs San Diego kicks off at 23:30 UTC on Sunday, 11 October 2026 at Sports Illustrated Stadium, Harrison.
