Ligue 1· Regular Season - 12· Parc des Princes
Paris Saint Germain
Lorient28 Nov
Paris Saint Germain vs Lorient Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 28 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Both teams to score
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.96
Expected goals
1.7 - 1.0
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Match probabilities
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More Paris Saint Germain vs Lorient tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Paris Saint Germain +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.08 | - |
| 1XParis Saint Germain or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 71% | 1.40 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Lorient +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 69% | 1.44 | - |
| X2Lorient or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.97 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.03 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 49% | 2.05 | - |
| 1Paris Saint Germain to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Paris Saint Germain -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 31% | 3.27 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 29% | 3.50 | - |
| 2Lorient to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Lorient -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 13.61 | - |
Paris Saint Germain vs Lorient preview & analysis
Match preview
Paris Saint Germain host Lorient in the Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 12) at Parc des Princes on Saturday, 28 November 2026, with kick-off at 19:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Paris Saint Germain arrive in superb form, with 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat Manchester City 4-2 away. They're 6th in the table with 11 points from 6 games. Lorient arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 6. Most recently they beat Paris FC 1-0 at home. They're 8th in the table with 8 points from 6 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Paris Saint Germain have won 2, Lorient have won 1 and 3 ended level. Those games averaged 3.0 goals, and both teams scored in 5 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Paris Saint Germain narrow favourites: Paris Saint Germain 44%, draw 38%, Lorient 18%. We expect around 2.7 goals (1.7 - 1.0 in expected goals), with 51% for over 2.5 and 51% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both attacks are firing and neither defence has been keeping clean sheets. We expect goals at both ends. Our pick is Both teams to score, which our model rates at a 51% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Paris Saint Germain 1-0 Lorient.
Recent form
Paris Saint Germain- 14 OctAManchester City4-2
- 10 OctHLe Mans3-1
- 20 SeptAMarseille2-1
- 13 SeptAStade Brestois 291-0
- 9 SeptHSlovan Bratislava6-1
Lorient- 10 OctHParis FC1-0
- 19 SeptALe Mans1-2
- 12 SeptHToulouse2-2
- 5 SeptALens1-0
- 29 AugHEstac Troyes1-2
Head to head
Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Monaco | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +5 | 14 |
| 2 |  Lille | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 13 |
| 3 |  Rennes | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 13 |
| 4 |  Lyon | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 11 |
| 5 |  Paris FC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 11 |
| 6 | Paris Saint Germain | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11 |
| 7 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 8 |
| 8 | Lorient | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 |  Nice | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 |  Lens | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 7 |
| 11 |  Strasbourg | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 |  Angers | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 |  Marseille | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | +1 | 6 |
| 14 |  Le Mans | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 |  Toulouse | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 |  Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -8 | 6 |
| 17 |  Estac Troyes | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 2 |
Paris Saint Germain vs Lorient: FAQ
What is the Paris Saint Germain vs Lorient prediction?
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Our tip is Both teams to score. Our predicted score is Paris Saint Germain 1-0 Lorient.
Who is the favourite to win Paris Saint Germain vs Lorient?
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Paris Saint Germain are favourites. Our model gives Paris Saint Germain a 44% chance of winning, Lorient 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Paris Saint Germain vs Lorient?
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We rate both teams to score at 51%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Paris Saint Germain vs Lorient kick off?
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Paris Saint Germain vs Lorient kicks off at 19:45 UTC on Saturday, 28 November 2026 at Parc des Princes, Paris.
