Ligue 1· Regular Season - 9· Stade Jean Bouin
Paris FC
Monaco1 Nov
Paris FC vs Monaco Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 1 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.93
Expected goals
1.7 - 0.9
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Paris FC vs Monaco tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Paris FC +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.08 | - |
| 1XParis FC or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.36 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Monaco +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 70% | 1.42 | - |
| X2Monaco or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 51% | 1.97 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 49% | 2.03 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.08 | - |
| 1Paris FC to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Paris FC -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 30% | 3.37 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 3.79 | - |
| 2Monaco to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Monaco -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 13.91 | - |
Paris FC vs Monaco preview & analysis
Match preview
Paris FC host Monaco in the Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 9) at Stade Jean Bouin on Sunday, 1 November 2026, with kick-off at 16:15 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Paris FC arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 4. Most recently they lost to Lorient 0-1 away. They're 5th in the table with 11 points from 6 games. Monaco arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat CSKA Sofia 2-1 away. They're 1st in the table with 14 points from 6 games.
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings between these sides, Paris FC have won 2, Monaco have won 0 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 3.0 goals, and both teams scored in 1 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Paris FC narrow favourites: Paris FC 44%, draw 38%, Monaco 18%. We expect around 2.6 goals (1.7 - 0.9 in expected goals), with 48% for over 2.5 and 49% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 52% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Paris FC 1-0 Monaco.
Recent form
Paris FC- 10 OctALorient0-1
- 19 SeptHStrasbourg2-1
- 12 SeptHLyon0-0
- 6 SeptAMarseille3-2
- 30 AugHNice3-0
Monaco- 15 OctACSKA Sofia2-1
- 10 OctHToulouse2-2
- 3 OctHPisa2-0
- 18 SeptHLens2-1
- 12 SeptAStrasbourg1-1
Head to head
Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monaco | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +5 | 14 |
| 2 |  Lille | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 13 |
| 3 |  Rennes | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 13 |
| 4 |  Lyon | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 11 |
| 5 | Paris FC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 11 |
| 6 |  Paris Saint Germain | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11 |
| 7 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 8 |
| 8 |  Lorient | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 |  Nice | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 |  Lens | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 7 |
| 11 |  Strasbourg | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 |  Angers | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 |  Marseille | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | +1 | 6 |
| 14 |  Le Mans | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 |  Toulouse | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 |  Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -8 | 6 |
| 17 |  Estac Troyes | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 2 |
Paris FC vs Monaco: FAQ
What is the Paris FC vs Monaco prediction?
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Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Paris FC 1-0 Monaco.
Who is the favourite to win Paris FC vs Monaco?
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Paris FC are favourites. Our model gives Paris FC a 44% chance of winning, Monaco 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Paris FC vs Monaco?
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We rate both teams to score at 49%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Paris FC vs Monaco kick off?
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Paris FC vs Monaco kicks off at 16:15 UTC on Sunday, 1 November 2026 at Stade Jean Bouin, Isilemulino.
