Ligue 1· Regular Season - 9· Orange Vélodrome
Marseille
Toulouse1 Nov
Marseille vs Toulouse Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 1 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Both teams to score
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-2
Fair odds
1.66
Expected goals
1.3 - 1.8
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Marseille vs Toulouse tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Toulouse +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 89% | 1.12 | - |
| X2Toulouse or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Marseille +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 72% | 1.40 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 62% | 1.60 | - |
| 1XMarseille or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.67 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.49 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 40% | 2.52 | - |
| 2Toulouse to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 38% | 2.67 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Toulouse -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 28% | 3.53 | - |
| 1Marseille to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Marseille -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 11% | 9.10 | - |
Marseille vs Toulouse preview & analysis
Match preview
Marseille host Toulouse in the Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 9) at Orange Vélodrome on Sunday, 1 November 2026, with kick-off at 19:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Marseille are struggling for results, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 8. Most recently they lost to Olympiakos Piraeus 0-1 at home. They're 14th in the table with 6 points from 6 games. Toulouse arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 9. Most recently they beat Le Mans 3-0 away. They're 7th in the table with 9 points from 7 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Marseille have won 3, Toulouse have won 0 and 3 ended level. Those games averaged 3.7 goals, and both teams scored in 5 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Toulouse narrow favourites: Marseille 23%, draw 38%, Toulouse 39%. We expect around 3.1 goals (1.3 - 1.8 in expected goals), with 60% for over 2.5 and 60% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both attacks are firing and neither defence has been keeping clean sheets. We expect goals at both ends. Our pick is Both teams to score, which our model rates at a 60% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Marseille 1-2 Toulouse.
Recent form
Marseille- 15 OctHOlympiakos Piraeus0-1
- 11 OctAEstac Troyes2-0
- 20 SeptHParis Saint Germain1-2
- 17 SeptABeşiktaş1-4
- 11 SeptARennes0-1
Toulouse- 16 OctALe Mans3-0
- 10 OctAMonaco2-2
- 3 OctHPAU2-3
- 19 SeptHLe Havre3-2
- 12 SeptALorient2-2
Head to head
Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Monaco | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +5 | 14 |
| 2 |  Lille | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 13 |
| 3 |  Rennes | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 13 |
| 4 |  Lyon | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 11 |
| 5 |  Paris FC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 11 |
| 6 |  Paris Saint Germain | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11 |
| 7 | Toulouse | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 9 |
| 8 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 8 |
| 9 |  Lorient | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 |  Nice | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 |  Lens | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 7 |
| 12 |  Strasbourg | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 |  Angers | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 14 | Marseille | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | +1 | 6 |
| 15 |  Le Mans | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 6 |
| 16 |  Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -8 | 6 |
| 17 |  Estac Troyes | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 2 |
Marseille vs Toulouse: FAQ
What is the Marseille vs Toulouse prediction?
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Our tip is Both teams to score. Our predicted score is Marseille 1-2 Toulouse.
Who is the favourite to win Marseille vs Toulouse?
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Toulouse are favourites. Our model gives Marseille a 23% chance of winning, Toulouse 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Marseille vs Toulouse?
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We rate both teams to score at 60%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Marseille vs Toulouse kick off?
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Marseille vs Toulouse kicks off at 19:45 UTC on Sunday, 1 November 2026 at Orange Vélodrome, Marseille.
