Brasileirão· Regular Season - 36· Allianz Parque
Palmeiras
Flamengo22 Nov
Palmeiras vs Flamengo Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 22 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.48
Expected goals
1.1 - 0.9
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Palmeiras vs Flamengo tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Palmeiras +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 89% | 1.12 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 86% | 1.17 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Flamengo +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 84% | 1.19 | - |
| 1XPalmeiras or Draw | 70% | 1.44 | - |
| X2Flamengo or Draw | 62% | 1.61 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 60% | 1.66 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 40% | 2.52 | - |
| 1Palmeiras to win | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 32% | 3.09 | - |
| XDraw | 32% | 3.14 | - |
| 2Flamengo to win | 30% | 3.29 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Palmeiras -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 16% | 6.37 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 14% | 7.00 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Flamengo -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 11% | 9.37 | - |
Palmeiras vs Flamengo preview & analysis
Match preview
Palmeiras host Flamengo in the Brasileirão (Regular Season - 36) at Allianz Parque on Sunday, 22 November 2026, with kick-off at 21:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Palmeiras arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat Fluminense 2-1 away. They're 2nd in the table with 63 points from 30 games. Flamengo arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 4. Most recently they drew with Estudiantes L.P. 0-0 away. They're 1st in the table with 64 points from 30 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Palmeiras have won 2, Flamengo have won 3 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 2.3 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Palmeiras narrow favourites: Palmeiras 38%, draw 32%, Flamengo 30%. We expect around 2.0 goals (1.1 - 0.9 in expected goals), with 32% for over 2.5 and 40% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 68% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Palmeiras 1-0 Flamengo.
Recent form
Palmeiras- 15 OctAFluminense2-1
- 11 OctHCorinthians4-1
- 9 OctHBahia1-0
- 20 SeptAGremio0-0
- 16 SeptALDU de Quito2-3
Flamengo- 16 OctAEstudiantes L.P.0-0
- 11 OctHFluminense1-0
- 8 OctASantos2-2
- 20 SeptHRB Bragantino2-1
- 18 SeptHIndependiente del Valle1-1
Head to head
Brasileirão table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | +33 | 64 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | +30 | 63 |
| 3 |  Atletico Paranaense | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | +14 | 53 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +11 | 51 |
| 5 |  Bahia | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | +8 | 49 |
| 6 |  Cruzeiro | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | +2 | 48 |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +6 | 47 |
| 8 |  Santos | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +1 | 42 |
| 9 |  RB Bragantino | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | +3 | 40 |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 39 |
| 11 |  Coritiba | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -10 | 39 |
| 12 |  Vitoria | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -11 | 36 |
| 13 |  Botafogo | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -5 | 36 |
| 14 |  Vasco DA Gama | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | -6 | 35 |
| 15 |  Mirassol | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | -10 | 33 |
| 16 |  Corinthians | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | -7 | 32 |
| 17 |  Internacional | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | -5 | 32 |
| 18 |  Gremio | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 31 |
| 19 |  Remo | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -15 | 25 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 29 | 3 | 9 | 17 | -31 | 18 |
Palmeiras vs Flamengo: FAQ
What is the Palmeiras vs Flamengo prediction?
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Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Palmeiras 1-0 Flamengo.
Who is the favourite to win Palmeiras vs Flamengo?
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Palmeiras are favourites. Our model gives Palmeiras a 38% chance of winning, Flamengo 30%, and the draw 32%.
Will both teams score in Palmeiras vs Flamengo?
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We rate both teams to score at 40%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does Palmeiras vs Flamengo kick off?
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Palmeiras vs Flamengo kicks off at 21:00 UTC on Sunday, 22 November 2026 at Allianz Parque, Sao Paulo.
