Copa Libertadores· Group Stage - 5· Allianz Parque
Palmeiras
Cerro Porteno0-1
FT
Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteno Prediction & Betting Tips
Thursday, 21 May 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteno tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Palmeiras +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 95% | 1.06 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 89% | 1.12 | - |
| 1XPalmeiras or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Cerro Porteno +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 79% | 1.26 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 73% | 1.37 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 67% | 1.48 | - |
| X2Cerro Porteno or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| 1Palmeiras to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 33% | 3.06 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 27% | 3.71 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Palmeiras -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 21% | 4.81 | - |
| 2Cerro Porteno to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 11% | 9.20 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Cerro Porteno -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 5% | 18.21 | - |
Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteno preview & analysis
Match preview
Palmeiras host Cerro Porteno in the Copa Libertadores (Group Stage - 5) at Allianz Parque on Thursday, 21 May 2026, with kick-off at 00:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Palmeiras have won 5, Cerro Porteno have won 0 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 2.7 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Palmeiras narrow favourites: Palmeiras 44%, draw 38%, Cerro Porteno 18%. We expect around 1.8 goals (1.2 - 0.6 in expected goals), with 27% for over 2.5 and 33% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Copa Libertadores table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cerro Porteno | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 13 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 11 |
| 3 |  Sporting Cristal | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -3 | 6 |
| 4 |  Junior | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteno: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteno?
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Palmeiras are favourites. Our model gives Palmeiras a 44% chance of winning, Cerro Porteno 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteno?
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We rate both teams to score at 33%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteno kick off?
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Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteno kicks off at 00:30 UTC on Thursday, 21 May 2026 at Allianz Parque, Sao Paulo.
