Copa Libertadores· Group Stage - 5· Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega
Cusco
Independiente Medellin2-3
FT
Cusco vs Independiente Medellin Prediction & Betting Tips
Thursday, 21 May 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Fan vote
Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
Votes: 0How many goals?
Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Cusco vs Independiente Medellin tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Independiente Medellin +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 91% | 1.10 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 80% | 1.25 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Cusco +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 78% | 1.28 | - |
| X2Independiente Medellin or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| 1XCusco or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.68 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 55% | 1.83 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 45% | 2.21 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.48 | - |
| 2Independiente Medellin to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| 1Cusco to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Independiente Medellin -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 22% | 4.53 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 20% | 4.98 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Cusco -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 9% | 11.05 | - |
Cusco vs Independiente Medellin preview & analysis
Match preview
Cusco host Independiente Medellin in the Copa Libertadores (Group Stage - 5) at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega on Thursday, 21 May 2026, with kick-off at 02:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting between these sides, Cusco have won 0, Independiente Medellin have won 1 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 1.0 goals, and both teams scored in 0 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Independiente Medellin narrow favourites: Cusco 23%, draw 38%, Independiente Medellin 39%. We expect around 2.3 goals (0.9 - 1.4 in expected goals), with 40% for over 2.5 and 45% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Copa Libertadores table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +12 | 16 |
| 2 |  Estudiantes L.P. | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 9 |
| 3 | Independiente Medellin | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 7 |
| 4 | Cusco | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 1 |
Cusco vs Independiente Medellin: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Cusco vs Independiente Medellin?
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Independiente Medellin are favourites. Our model gives Cusco a 23% chance of winning, Independiente Medellin 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Cusco vs Independiente Medellin?
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We rate both teams to score at 45%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Cusco vs Independiente Medellin kick off?
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Cusco vs Independiente Medellin kicks off at 02:00 UTC on Thursday, 21 May 2026 at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco.
