League One· Regular Season - 16· Meadow Lane
Notts County
Stevenage21 Nov
Notts County vs Stevenage Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 21 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
0-1
Fair odds
1.54
Expected goals
0.9 - 1.2
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Notts County vs Stevenage tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Stevenage +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.09 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 84% | 1.19 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Notts County +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 80% | 1.25 | - |
| X2Stevenage or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| 1XNotts County or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 59% | 1.69 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 41% | 2.44 | - |
| 2Stevenage to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 35% | 2.85 | - |
| 1Notts County to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Stevenage -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 20% | 4.93 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 16% | 6.20 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Notts County -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 11.87 | - |
Notts County vs Stevenage preview & analysis
Match preview
Notts County host Stevenage in the League One (Regular Season - 16) at Meadow Lane on Saturday, 21 November 2026, with kick-off at 15:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Notts County arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 4 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 6. Most recently they beat Nottingham Forest U21 5-1 at home. They're 22nd in the table with 7 points from 8 games. Stevenage arrive in superb form, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 4. Most recently they beat Wigan 1-0 at home. They're 9th in the table with 12 points from 8 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Notts County have won 2, Stevenage have won 1 and 3 ended level. Those games averaged 3.0 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Stevenage narrow favourites: Notts County 23%, draw 38%, Stevenage 39%. We expect around 2.1 goals (0.9 - 1.2 in expected goals), with 35% for over 2.5 and 41% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 65% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Notts County 0-1 Stevenage.
Recent form
Notts County- 13 OctHNottingham Forest U215-1
- 10 OctHOxford United1-2
- 22 SeptHGrimsby2-1
- 19 SeptAReading0-2
Stevenage- 10 OctHWigan1-0
- 6 OctHLeicester2-1
- 22 SeptAWalsall6-1
- 19 SeptALeyton Orient0-1
- 10 SeptHLuton2-1
Head to head
League One table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Plymouth | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +6 | 19 |
| 2 |  Bradford | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 17 |
| 3 |  Stockport County | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +9 | 16 |
| 4 |  Huddersfield | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +7 | 16 |
| 7 |  Oxford United | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +7 | 15 |
| 8 |  Sheffield Wednesday | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +7 | 15 |
| 9 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 12 |
| 10 |  Burton Albion | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 12 |
| 11 |  Mansfield Town | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 12 |
| 20 |  Peterborough | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 8 |
| 21 |  Bromley | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -11 | 8 |
| 22 | Notts County | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 23 |  Milton Keynes Dons | 8 | 0 | 6 | 2 | -6 | 6 |
| 24 |  Wigan | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -8 | 4 |
Notts County vs Stevenage: FAQ
What is the Notts County vs Stevenage prediction?
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Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Notts County 0-1 Stevenage.
Who is the favourite to win Notts County vs Stevenage?
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Stevenage are favourites. Our model gives Notts County a 23% chance of winning, Stevenage 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Notts County vs Stevenage?
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We rate both teams to score at 41%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does Notts County vs Stevenage kick off?
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Notts County vs Stevenage kicks off at 15:00 UTC on Saturday, 21 November 2026 at Meadow Lane, Nottingham.
