Championship· Regular Season - 3· Carrow Road
Norwich
Burnley4-1
FT
Norwich vs Burnley Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 29 August 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
Votes: 0How many goals?
Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Norwich vs Burnley tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Burnley +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 88% | 1.13 | - |
| X2Burnley or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Norwich +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 69% | 1.45 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 68% | 1.47 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 66% | 1.50 | - |
| 1XNorwich or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 54% | 1.86 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 46% | 2.16 | - |
| 2Burnley to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 34% | 2.98 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 32% | 3.12 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Burnley -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 31% | 3.23 | - |
| 1Norwich to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Norwich -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 12% | 8.55 | - |
Norwich vs Burnley preview & analysis
Match preview
Norwich host Burnley in the Championship (Regular Season - 3) at Carrow Road on Saturday, 29 August 2026, with kick-off at 14:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Norwich have won 1, Burnley have won 4 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 2.0 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Burnley narrow favourites: Norwich 23%, draw 38%, Burnley 39%. We expect around 3.5 goals (1.4 - 2.1 in expected goals), with 68% for over 2.5 and 66% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 23 |
| 2 |  Middlesbrough | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 21 |
| 3 |  West Ham | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | +17 | 19 |
| 4 |  Birmingham | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 18 |  Lincoln | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -10 | 11 |
| 19 |  Cardiff | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | +1 | 10 |
| 20 | Norwich | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | -3 | 9 |
| 21 | Burnley | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 22 |  Watford | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 8 |
| 23 |  Derby | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -10 | 6 |
Norwich vs Burnley: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Norwich vs Burnley?
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Burnley are favourites. Our model gives Norwich a 23% chance of winning, Burnley 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Norwich vs Burnley?
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We rate both teams to score at 66%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Norwich vs Burnley kick off?
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Norwich vs Burnley kicks off at 14:00 UTC on Saturday, 29 August 2026 at Carrow Road, Norwich.
