Championship· Regular Season - 3· Pride Park
Derby
Swansea0-3
FT
Derby vs Swansea Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 29 August 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Derby vs Swansea tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Swansea +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 90% | 1.11 | - |
| X2Swansea or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Derby +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 76% | 1.31 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 76% | 1.32 | - |
| 1XDerby or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.84 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 51% | 1.98 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 49% | 2.02 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.19 | - |
| 2Swansea to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 24% | 4.13 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Swansea -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 24% | 4.20 | - |
| 1Derby to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Derby -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 10% | 10.41 | - |
Derby vs Swansea preview & analysis
Match preview
Derby host Swansea in the Championship (Regular Season - 3) at Pride Park on Saturday, 29 August 2026, with kick-off at 11:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Derby have won 2, Swansea have won 3 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 2.0 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Swansea narrow favourites: Derby 23%, draw 38%, Swansea 39%. We expect around 2.5 goals (1.0 - 1.5 in expected goals), with 46% for over 2.5 and 49% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 23 |
| 2 |  Middlesbrough | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 21 |
| 3 |  West Ham | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | +17 | 19 |
| 4 |  Birmingham | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 21 |  Burnley | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 22 |  Watford | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 8 |
| 23 | Derby | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -10 | 6 |
| 24 |  Preston | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | -12 | 4 |
Derby vs Swansea: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Derby vs Swansea?
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Swansea are favourites. Our model gives Derby a 23% chance of winning, Swansea 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Derby vs Swansea?
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We rate both teams to score at 49%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Derby vs Swansea kick off?
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Derby vs Swansea kicks off at 11:30 UTC on Saturday, 29 August 2026 at Pride Park, Derby.
