HNL· Regular Season - 16· Gradski stadion Varazdin
NK Varazdin
HNK Gorica5 Dec
NK Varazdin vs HNK Gorica Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 5 December 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.28
Expected goals
1.0 - 0.6
Add to My Teams
Pick the teams and leagues you care about. We save them on this device, no sign-up needed.
Fan vote
Who will win?
Votes: 0Vote to see what other fans think
How many goals?
Votes: 0Vote to see what other fans think
Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More NK Varazdin vs HNK Gorica tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5NK Varazdin +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 95% | 1.05 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 92% | 1.09 | - |
| AH2 +1.5HNK Gorica +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 82% | 1.22 | - |
| 1XNK Varazdin or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 72% | 1.39 | - |
| X2HNK Gorica or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| 1NK Varazdin to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 28% | 3.56 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 22% | 4.62 | - |
| 2HNK Gorica to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH1 -1.5NK Varazdin -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 18% | 5.47 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 8% | 12.69 | - |
| AH2 -1.5HNK Gorica -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 5% | 20.29 | - |
NK Varazdin vs HNK Gorica preview & analysis
Match preview
NK Varazdin host HNK Gorica in the HNL (Regular Season - 16) at Gradski stadion Varazdin on Saturday, 5 December 2026, with kick-off at 16:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
NK Varazdin arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 2. Most recently they beat NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-0 away. They're 2nd in the table with 18 points from 9 games. HNK Gorica arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 8. Most recently they lost to Rudes 1-2 at home. They're 10th in the table with 5 points from 9 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, NK Varazdin have won 2, HNK Gorica have won 1 and 3 ended level. Those games averaged 3.2 goals, and both teams scored in 6 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes NK Varazdin narrow favourites: NK Varazdin 44%, draw 38%, HNK Gorica 18%. We expect around 1.6 goals (1.0 - 0.6 in expected goals), with 22% for over 2.5 and 28% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 78% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is NK Varazdin 1-0 HNK Gorica.
Recent form
NK Varazdin- 11 OctANK Lokomotiva Zagreb1-0
- 2 OctAAluminij0-0
- 19 SeptHNK Osijek0-0
- 14 SeptAHNK Gorica2-2
- 9 SeptAZagora4-0
HNK Gorica- 9 OctHRudes1-2
- 2 OctHBravo3-3
- 28 SeptAMaribor1-1
- 19 SeptAIstra 19611-0
- 14 SeptHNK Varazdin2-2
Head to head
HNL table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  HNK Hajduk Split | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +9 | 19 |
| 2 | NK Varazdin | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +7 | 18 |
| 3 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +7 | 16 |
| 4 |  NK Osijek | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 16 |
| 5 |  HNK Rijeka | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 14 |
| 6 |  Istra 1961 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 12 |
| 7 |  NK Slaven Belupo | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -6 | 10 |
| 8 |  NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -6 | 7 |
| 9 |  Rudes | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -13 | 7 |
| 10 | HNK Gorica | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 5 |
NK Varazdin vs HNK Gorica: FAQ
What is the NK Varazdin vs HNK Gorica prediction?
+
Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is NK Varazdin 1-0 HNK Gorica.
Who is the favourite to win NK Varazdin vs HNK Gorica?
+
NK Varazdin are favourites. Our model gives NK Varazdin a 44% chance of winning, HNK Gorica 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in NK Varazdin vs HNK Gorica?
+
We rate both teams to score at 28%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does NK Varazdin vs HNK Gorica kick off?
+
NK Varazdin vs HNK Gorica kicks off at 16:00 UTC on Saturday, 5 December 2026 at Gradski stadion Varazdin.
