Premier League· Regular Season - 5· St James' Park
Newcastle
Hull City2-1
FT
Newcastle vs Hull City Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 19 September 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Newcastle vs Hull City tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Hull City +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 90% | 1.12 | - |
| X2Hull City or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Newcastle +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 74% | 1.35 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 69% | 1.45 | - |
| 1XNewcastle or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 55% | 1.81 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.88 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.13 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 45% | 2.23 | - |
| 2Hull City to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 31% | 3.25 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Hull City -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 26% | 3.82 | - |
| 1Newcastle to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Newcastle -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 10% | 9.66 | - |
Newcastle vs Hull City preview & analysis
Match preview
Newcastle host Hull City in the Premier League (Regular Season - 5) at St James' Park on Saturday, 19 September 2026, with kick-off at 14:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Newcastle arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 4 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 6. Most recently they lost to Leeds 1-4 away. They're 11th in the table with 8 points from 6 games. Hull City arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 4 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 3. Most recently they drew with Chelsea 2-2 away. They're 8th in the table with 9 points from 6 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Newcastle have won 3, Hull City have won 1 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 3.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Hull City narrow favourites: Newcastle 23%, draw 38%, Hull City 39%. We expect around 2.8 goals (1.1 - 1.7 in expected goals), with 53% for over 2.5 and 55% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Newcastle- 14 SeptALeeds1-4
- 8 SeptAMillwall1-0
- 5 SeptHBournemouth2-2
- 29 AugATottenham2-0
Hull City- 12 SeptAChelsea2-2
- 8 SeptASunderland0-1
- 5 SeptHAston Villa0-0
- 29 AugACoventry1-0
Head to head
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 15 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +13 | 13 |
| 4 |  Brentford | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +6 | 10 |
| 5 |  Everton | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +3 | 10 |
| 6 |  Chelsea | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 10 |
| 7 |  Leeds | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 | Hull City | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 9 |
| 9 |  Liverpool | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 |  Ipswich | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 11 | Newcastle | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 |  Crystal Palace | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 |  Manchester United | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 14 |  Coventry | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 15 |  Nottingham Forest | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 |  Aston Villa | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 5 |
| 17 |  Sunderland | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 |  Bournemouth | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 3 |
| 19 |  Tottenham | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 3 |
| 20 |  Fulham | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 2 |
Newcastle vs Hull City: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Newcastle vs Hull City?
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Hull City are favourites. Our model gives Newcastle a 23% chance of winning, Hull City 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Newcastle vs Hull City?
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We rate both teams to score at 55%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Newcastle vs Hull City kick off?
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Newcastle vs Hull City kicks off at 14:00 UTC on Saturday, 19 September 2026 at St James' Park, Newcastle.
