Premier League· Regular Season - 3· American Express Stadium
Brighton
Leeds1-1
FT
Brighton vs Leeds Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 5 September 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
Add to My Teams
Pick the teams and leagues you care about. We save them on this device, no sign-up needed.
Fan vote
Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
Votes: 0How many goals?
Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Brighton vs Leeds tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Brighton +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.09 | - |
| 1XBrighton or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 68% | 1.47 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 64% | 1.56 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Leeds +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 63% | 1.60 | - |
| X2Leeds or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 54% | 1.86 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 46% | 2.16 | - |
| 1Brighton to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Brighton -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 37% | 2.67 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 36% | 2.78 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 32% | 3.12 | - |
| 2Leeds to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Leeds -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 12.07 | - |
Brighton vs Leeds preview & analysis
Match preview
Brighton host Leeds in the Premier League (Regular Season - 3) at American Express Stadium on Saturday, 5 September 2026, with kick-off at 14:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Leeds arrive in mixed form, with 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 1 matches, scoring 1 and conceding 1. Most recently they drew with Brentford 1-1 at home. They're 7th in the table with 9 points from 6 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Brighton have won 2, Leeds have won 1 and 3 ended level. Those games averaged 1.8 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Brighton narrow favourites: Brighton 44%, draw 38%, Leeds 18%. We expect around 3.5 goals (2.2 - 1.3 in expected goals), with 68% for over 2.5 and 64% for both teams to score.
Recent form
BrightonLeeds- 30 AugHBrentford1-1
Head to head
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 15 |
| 3 | Brighton | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +13 | 13 |
| 4 |  Brentford | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +6 | 10 |
| 5 |  Everton | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +3 | 10 |
| 6 |  Chelsea | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 10 |
| 7 | Leeds | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 |  Hull City | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 9 |
| 9 |  Liverpool | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 |  Ipswich | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 11 |  Newcastle | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 |  Crystal Palace | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 |  Manchester United | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 14 |  Coventry | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 15 |  Nottingham Forest | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 |  Aston Villa | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 5 |
| 17 |  Sunderland | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 |  Bournemouth | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 3 |
| 19 |  Tottenham | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 3 |
| 20 |  Fulham | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 2 |
Brighton vs Leeds: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Brighton vs Leeds?
+
Brighton are favourites. Our model gives Brighton a 44% chance of winning, Leeds 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Brighton vs Leeds?
+
We rate both teams to score at 64%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Brighton vs Leeds kick off?
+
Brighton vs Leeds kicks off at 14:00 UTC on Saturday, 5 September 2026 at American Express Stadium, Falmer.
