A-League· Semi-finals· McDonald Jones Stadium
Newcastle Jets
Sydney1-1
FT
Newcastle Jets vs Sydney Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 16 May 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Newcastle Jets vs Sydney tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Sydney +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 90% | 1.11 | - |
| X2Sydney or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Newcastle Jets +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 75% | 1.33 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.36 | - |
| 1XNewcastle Jets or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.93 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 51% | 1.95 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 49% | 2.06 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.08 | - |
| 2Sydney to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 3.79 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Sydney -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 25% | 4.07 | - |
| 1Newcastle Jets to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Newcastle Jets -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 10% | 10.13 | - |
Newcastle Jets vs Sydney preview & analysis
Match preview
Newcastle Jets host Sydney in the A-League (Semi-finals) at McDonald Jones Stadium on Saturday, 16 May 2026, with kick-off at 09:40 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Newcastle Jets arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 2 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 1. Most recently they drew with Sydney 1-1 away. They're 1st in the table with 48 points from 26 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Newcastle Jets have won 2, Sydney have won 2 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 3.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Sydney narrow favourites: Newcastle Jets 23%, draw 38%, Sydney 39%. We expect around 2.6 goals (1.1 - 1.5 in expected goals), with 48% for over 2.5 and 51% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Newcastle Jets- 9 MayASydney1-1
- 25 AprHCentral Coast Mariners4-0
SydneyHead to head
A-League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle Jets | 26 | 15 | 3 | 8 | +16 | 48 |
| 2 |  Adelaide United | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | +10 | 43 |
| 3 |  Auckland | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | +13 | 42 |
| 4 |  Melbourne Victory | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | +11 | 40 |
| 5 | Sydney | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | +8 | 39 |
| 6 |  Melbourne City | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 38 |
| 7 |  Macarthur | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | -7 | 34 |
| 8 |  Wellington Phoenix | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | -12 | 33 |
| 9 |  Central Coast Mariners | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | -7 | 32 |
| 10 |  Perth Glory | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | -7 | 31 |
| 11 |  Brisbane Roar | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | -9 | 26 |
| 12 |  Western Sydney Wanderers | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | -16 | 21 |
Newcastle Jets vs Sydney: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Newcastle Jets vs Sydney?
+
Sydney are favourites. Our model gives Newcastle Jets a 23% chance of winning, Sydney 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Newcastle Jets vs Sydney?
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We rate both teams to score at 51%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Newcastle Jets vs Sydney kick off?
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Newcastle Jets vs Sydney kicks off at 09:40 UTC on Saturday, 16 May 2026 at McDonald Jones Stadium, Newcastle.
