Nations League· League A - 1· Johan Cruijff Arena
Netherlands
Germany1-1
FT
Netherlands vs Germany Prediction & Betting Tips
Thursday, 24 September 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
Add to My Teams
Pick the teams and leagues you care about. We save them on this device, no sign-up needed.
Fan vote
Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Netherlands vs Germany tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Germany +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 90% | 1.11 | - |
| X2Germany or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Netherlands +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 75% | 1.33 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.36 | - |
| 1XNetherlands or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.93 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 51% | 1.95 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 49% | 2.06 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.08 | - |
| 2Germany to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 3.79 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Germany -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 25% | 4.07 | - |
| 1Netherlands to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Netherlands -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 10% | 10.13 | - |
Netherlands vs Germany preview & analysis
Match preview
Netherlands host Germany in the Nations League (League A - 1) at Johan Cruijff Arena on Thursday, 24 September 2026, with kick-off at 18:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Netherlands arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 2 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 2. Most recently they drew with Morocco 1-1 at home. They're 1st in the table with 8 points from 4 games. Germany arrive in mixed form, with 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 2 matches, scoring 2 and conceding 3. Most recently they drew with Paraguay 1-1 at home. They're 3rd in the table with 5 points from 4 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Netherlands have won 1, Germany have won 3 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 3.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Germany narrow favourites: Netherlands 23%, draw 38%, Germany 39%. We expect around 2.6 goals (1.1 - 1.5 in expected goals), with 48% for over 2.5 and 51% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Netherlands- 30 JunHMorocco1-1
- 26 JunATunisia3-1
Germany- 29 JunHParaguay1-1
- 25 JunAEcuador1-2
Head to head
Nations League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netherlands | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 8 |
| 2 |  Greece | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 8 |
| 3 | Germany | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 5 |
| 4 |  Serbia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -5 | 0 |
Netherlands vs Germany: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Netherlands vs Germany?
+
Germany are favourites. Our model gives Netherlands a 23% chance of winning, Germany 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Netherlands vs Germany?
+
We rate both teams to score at 51%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Netherlands vs Germany kick off?
+
Netherlands vs Germany kicks off at 18:45 UTC on Thursday, 24 September 2026 at Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam.
