Primeira Liga· Regular Season - 7· Estádio da Madeira
Nacional
Famalicao0-4
FT
Nacional vs Famalicao Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 19 September 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Nacional vs Famalicao tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Famalicao +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 91% | 1.10 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 78% | 1.28 | - |
| X2Famalicao or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Nacional +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| 1XNacional or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 57% | 1.76 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 53% | 1.90 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 47% | 2.11 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 2.32 | - |
| 2Famalicao to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Famalicao -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 23% | 4.36 | - |
| 1Nacional to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 22% | 4.52 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Nacional -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 9% | 10.71 | - |
Nacional vs Famalicao preview & analysis
Match preview
Nacional host Famalicao in the Primeira Liga (Regular Season - 7) at Estádio da Madeira on Saturday, 19 September 2026, with kick-off at 14:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Nacional are struggling for results, with 0 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 4 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 9. Most recently they lost to Alverca 1-3 at home. They're 16th in the table with 4 points from 8 games. Famalicao arrive in mixed form, with 0 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 4 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 4. Most recently they drew with Sporting CP 1-1 at home. They're 13th in the table with 7 points from 8 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Nacional have won 2, Famalicao have won 3 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 1.8 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Famalicao narrow favourites: Nacional 23%, draw 38%, Famalicao 39%. We expect around 2.4 goals (1.0 - 1.4 in expected goals), with 43% for over 2.5 and 47% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Nacional- 12 SeptHAlverca1-3
- 5 SeptASporting CP0-2
- 30 AugHEstrela2-3
- 23 AugAVitória SC0-1
Famalicao- 13 SeptHSporting CP1-1
- 5 SeptAEstrela2-2
- 30 AugHGIL Vicente0-0
- 23 AugASanta Clara0-1
Head to head
Primeira Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +16 | 24 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +17 | 19 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 18 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 |  Academico Viseu | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 8 |  Alverca | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 |  SC Braga | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 |  Estrela | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 |  Maritimo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 |  Moreirense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 | Famalicao | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 |  Rio Ave | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
| 15 |  Vitória SC | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 | Nacional | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 4 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -14 | 4 |
| 18 |  Estoril | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 2 |
Nacional vs Famalicao: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Nacional vs Famalicao?
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Famalicao are favourites. Our model gives Nacional a 23% chance of winning, Famalicao 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Nacional vs Famalicao?
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We rate both teams to score at 47%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Nacional vs Famalicao kick off?
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Nacional vs Famalicao kicks off at 14:30 UTC on Saturday, 19 September 2026 at Estádio da Madeira, Funchal.
