Primeira Liga· Regular Season - 6· Estádio da Madeira
Nacional
Alverca1-3
FT
Nacional vs Alverca Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 12 September 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
Add to My Teams
Pick the teams and leagues you care about. We save them on this device, no sign-up needed.
Fan vote
Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
Votes: 0How many goals?
Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Nacional vs Alverca tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Nacional +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.08 | - |
| 1XNacional or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Alverca +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 68% | 1.48 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 67% | 1.49 | - |
| X2Alverca or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 1.80 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 55% | 1.83 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 45% | 2.21 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 45% | 2.24 | - |
| 1Nacional to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 33% | 3.03 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Nacional -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 32% | 3.08 | - |
| 2Alverca to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Alverca -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 13.10 | - |
Nacional vs Alverca preview & analysis
Match preview
Nacional host Alverca in the Primeira Liga (Regular Season - 6) at Estádio da Madeira on Saturday, 12 September 2026, with kick-off at 14:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Nacional are struggling for results, with 0 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 3 matches, scoring 2 and conceding 6. Most recently they lost to Sporting CP 0-2 away. They're 16th in the table with 4 points from 8 games. Alverca arrive in mixed form, with 0 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 3 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 6. Most recently they lost to SC Braga 1-2 at home. They're 8th in the table with 11 points from 8 games.
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings between these sides, Nacional have won 1, Alverca have won 1 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 1.0 goals, and both teams scored in 0 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Nacional narrow favourites: Nacional 44%, draw 38%, Alverca 18%. We expect around 2.9 goals (1.9 - 1.0 in expected goals), with 55% for over 2.5 and 55% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Nacional- 5 SeptASporting CP0-2
- 30 AugHEstrela2-3
- 23 AugAVitória SC0-1
Alverca- 5 SeptHSC Braga1-2
- 29 AugHSanta Clara1-1
- 22 AugASporting CP1-3
Head to head
Primeira Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +16 | 24 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +17 | 19 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 18 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 |  Academico Viseu | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 8 | Alverca | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 |  SC Braga | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 |  Estrela | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 |  Maritimo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 |  Moreirense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 |  Famalicao | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 |  Rio Ave | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
| 15 |  Vitória SC | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 | Nacional | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 4 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -14 | 4 |
| 18 |  Estoril | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 2 |
Nacional vs Alverca: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Nacional vs Alverca?
+
Nacional are favourites. Our model gives Nacional a 44% chance of winning, Alverca 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Nacional vs Alverca?
+
We rate both teams to score at 55%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Nacional vs Alverca kick off?
+
Nacional vs Alverca kicks off at 14:30 UTC on Saturday, 12 September 2026 at Estádio da Madeira, Funchal.
