Primeira Liga· Regular Season - 6· Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior
Casa Pia
FC Porto1-4
FT
Casa Pia vs FC Porto Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 12 September 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Casa Pia vs FC Porto tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5FC Porto +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.08 | - |
| X2FC Porto or Draw | 83% | 1.20 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Casa Pia +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 67% | 1.50 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 65% | 1.55 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.73 | - |
| 1XCasa Pia or Draw | 58% | 1.74 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 44% | 2.29 | - |
| 2FC Porto to win | 42% | 2.36 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.36 | - |
| XDraw | 41% | 2.45 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 2.83 | - |
| AH2 -1.5FC Porto -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 33% | 2.99 | - |
| 1Casa Pia to win | 17% | 5.95 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Casa Pia -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 12.98 | - |
Casa Pia vs FC Porto preview & analysis
Match preview
Casa Pia host FC Porto in the Primeira Liga (Regular Season - 6) at Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior on Saturday, 12 September 2026, with kick-off at 17:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Casa Pia arrive in mixed form, with 0 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 3 matches, scoring 0 and conceding 3. Most recently they drew with Vitória SC 0-0 away. They're 17th in the table with 4 points from 8 games. FC Porto arrive in mixed form, with 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 1 matches, scoring 0 and conceding 2. Most recently they lost to Manchester City 0-2 at home. They're 1st in the table with 24 points from 8 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Casa Pia have won 1, FC Porto have won 5 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 2.8 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes FC Porto narrow favourites: Casa Pia 17%, draw 41%, FC Porto 42%. We expect around 3.0 goals (1.1 - 1.9 in expected goals), with 58% for over 2.5 and 56% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Casa Pia- 6 SeptAVitória SC0-0
- 30 AugHMoreirense0-1
- 24 AugAGIL Vicente0-2
FC Porto- 8 SeptHManchester City0-2
Head to head
Primeira Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +16 | 24 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +17 | 19 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 18 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 |  Academico Viseu | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 8 |  Alverca | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 |  SC Braga | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 |  Estrela | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 |  Maritimo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 |  Moreirense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 |  Famalicao | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 |  Rio Ave | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
| 15 |  Vitória SC | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 |  Nacional | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 4 |
| 17 | Casa Pia | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -14 | 4 |
| 18 |  Estoril | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 2 |
Casa Pia vs FC Porto: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Casa Pia vs FC Porto?
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FC Porto are favourites. Our model gives Casa Pia a 17% chance of winning, FC Porto 42%, and the draw 41%.
Will both teams score in Casa Pia vs FC Porto?
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We rate both teams to score at 56%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Casa Pia vs FC Porto kick off?
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Casa Pia vs FC Porto kicks off at 17:00 UTC on Saturday, 12 September 2026 at Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior, Rio Maior.
