Scottish Premiership· Regular Season - 12· Fir Park
Motherwell
ST Mirren31 Oct
Motherwell vs ST Mirren Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.93
Expected goals
1.7 - 0.9
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Motherwell vs ST Mirren tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Motherwell +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.08 | - |
| 1XMotherwell or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.36 | - |
| AH2 +1.5ST Mirren +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 70% | 1.42 | - |
| X2ST Mirren or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 51% | 1.97 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 49% | 2.03 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.08 | - |
| 1Motherwell to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Motherwell -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 30% | 3.37 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 3.79 | - |
| 2ST Mirren to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5ST Mirren -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 13.91 | - |
Motherwell vs ST Mirren preview & analysis
Match preview
Motherwell host ST Mirren in the Scottish Premiership (Regular Season - 12) at Fir Park on Saturday, 31 October 2026, with kick-off at 15:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Motherwell are struggling for results, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 9. Most recently they lost to Celtic 0-2 at home. They're 9th in the table with 8 points from 8 games. ST Mirren are struggling for results, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 2 and conceding 11. Most recently they lost to Heart Of Midlothian 0-5 away. They're 7th in the table with 10 points from 8 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Motherwell have won 2, ST Mirren have won 1 and 3 ended level. Those games averaged 3.7 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Motherwell narrow favourites: Motherwell 44%, draw 38%, ST Mirren 18%. We expect around 2.6 goals (1.7 - 0.9 in expected goals), with 48% for over 2.5 and 49% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 52% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Motherwell 1-0 ST Mirren.
Recent form
Motherwell- 11 OctHCeltic0-2
- 19 SeptADundee1-2
- 15 SeptHAberdeen0-4
- 5 SeptARangers0-1
- 2 SeptHDundee Utd3-0
ST Mirren- 10 OctAHeart Of Midlothian0-5
- 19 SeptHDundee Utd0-3
- 9 SeptARangers0-1
- 5 SeptHCeltic1-2
- 2 SeptAKilmarnock1-0
Head to head
Scottish Premiership table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +12 | 21 |
| 2 |  Rangers | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 19 |
| 3 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +11 | 16 |
| 4 |  Dundee | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 13 |
| 5 |  ST Johnstone | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 6 |  Dundee Utd | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 7 | ST Mirren | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 10 |
| 8 |  Aberdeen | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 8 |
| 9 | Motherwell | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 10 |  Hibernian | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 7 |
| 11 |  Falkirk | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 6 |
| 12 |  Kilmarnock | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -11 | 5 |
Motherwell vs ST Mirren: FAQ
What is the Motherwell vs ST Mirren prediction?
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Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Motherwell 1-0 ST Mirren.
Who is the favourite to win Motherwell vs ST Mirren?
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Motherwell are favourites. Our model gives Motherwell a 44% chance of winning, ST Mirren 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Motherwell vs ST Mirren?
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We rate both teams to score at 49%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Motherwell vs ST Mirren kick off?
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Motherwell vs ST Mirren kicks off at 15:00 UTC on Saturday, 31 October 2026 at Fir Park, Motherwell.
