Primeira Liga· Regular Season - 10· Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Moreirense
Estrela31 Oct
Moreirense vs Estrela Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Both teams to score
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-2
Fair odds
1.70
Expected goals
1.2 - 1.8
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Moreirense vs Estrela tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Estrela +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 89% | 1.12 | - |
| X2Estrela or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Moreirense +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 72% | 1.38 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 65% | 1.55 | - |
| 1XMoreirense or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.73 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.36 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 41% | 2.42 | - |
| 2Estrela to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 2.83 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Estrela -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 28% | 3.62 | - |
| 1Moreirense to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Moreirense -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 11% | 9.27 | - |
Moreirense vs Estrela preview & analysis
Match preview
Moreirense host Estrela in the Primeira Liga (Regular Season - 10) at Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas on Saturday, 31 October 2026, with kick-off at 15:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Moreirense are struggling for results, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 9. Most recently they lost to GIL Vicente 0-1 at home. They're 12th in the table with 8 points from 8 games. Estrela arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 9. Most recently they lost to Arouca 0-1 away. They're 10th in the table with 10 points from 8 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Moreirense have won 2, Estrela have won 1 and 3 ended level. Those games averaged 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Estrela narrow favourites: Moreirense 23%, draw 38%, Estrela 39%. We expect around 3.0 goals (1.2 - 1.8 in expected goals), with 58% for over 2.5 and 59% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both attacks are firing and neither defence has been keeping clean sheets. We expect goals at both ends. Our pick is Both teams to score, which our model rates at a 59% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Moreirense 1-2 Estrela.
Recent form
Moreirense- 9 OctHGIL Vicente0-1
- 20 SeptAVitória SC1-1
- 14 SeptHMaritimo3-1
- 9 SeptHBenfica0-4
- 4 SeptAFC Porto1-2
Estrela- 11 OctAArouca0-1
- 20 SeptHAcademico Viseu0-2
- 14 SeptARio Ave3-3
- 10 SeptHSC Braga2-1
- 5 SeptHFamalicao2-2
Head to head
Primeira Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +16 | 24 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +17 | 19 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 18 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 |  Academico Viseu | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 8 |  Alverca | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 |  SC Braga | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 | Estrela | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 |  Maritimo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 | Moreirense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 |  Famalicao | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 |  Rio Ave | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
| 15 |  Vitória SC | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 |  Nacional | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 4 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -14 | 4 |
| 18 |  Estoril | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 2 |
Moreirense vs Estrela: FAQ
What is the Moreirense vs Estrela prediction?
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Our tip is Both teams to score. Our predicted score is Moreirense 1-2 Estrela.
Who is the favourite to win Moreirense vs Estrela?
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Estrela are favourites. Our model gives Moreirense a 23% chance of winning, Estrela 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Moreirense vs Estrela?
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We rate both teams to score at 59%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Moreirense vs Estrela kick off?
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Moreirense vs Estrela kicks off at 15:30 UTC on Saturday, 31 October 2026 at Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas, Moreira de Conegos.
