Primeira Liga· Regular Season - 3· Parque de Jogos Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Moreirense
Benfica0-4
FT
Moreirense vs Benfica Prediction & Betting Tips
Wednesday, 9 September 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Moreirense vs Benfica tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Benfica +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.09 | - |
| X2Benfica or Draw | 83% | 1.20 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 71% | 1.42 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 66% | 1.52 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Moreirense +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 61% | 1.63 | - |
| 1XMoreirense or Draw | 58% | 1.74 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 50% | 1.98 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 50% | 2.02 | - |
| 2Benfica to win | 42% | 2.36 | - |
| XDraw | 41% | 2.45 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Benfica -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 39% | 2.58 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 34% | 2.94 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 29% | 3.40 | - |
| 1Moreirense to win | 17% | 5.95 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Moreirense -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 11.99 | - |
Moreirense vs Benfica preview & analysis
Match preview
Moreirense host Benfica in the Primeira Liga (Regular Season - 3) at Parque de Jogos Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas on Wednesday, 9 September 2026, with kick-off at 19:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Moreirense arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 2 matches, scoring 2 and conceding 2. Most recently they lost to FC Porto 1-2 away. They're 12th in the table with 8 points from 8 games. Benfica arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 1 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 0. Most recently they beat Maritimo 3-0 away. They're 2nd in the table with 19 points from 8 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Moreirense have won 0, Benfica have won 4 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 3.2 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Benfica narrow favourites: Moreirense 17%, draw 41%, Benfica 42%. We expect around 3.6 goals (1.3 - 2.3 in expected goals), with 71% for over 2.5 and 66% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Moreirense- 4 SeptAFC Porto1-2
- 30 AugACasa Pia1-0
Benfica- 5 SeptAMaritimo3-0
Head to head
Primeira Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +16 | 24 |
| 2 | Benfica | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +17 | 19 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 18 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 |  Academico Viseu | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 8 |  Alverca | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 |  SC Braga | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 |  Estrela | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 |  Maritimo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 | Moreirense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 |  Famalicao | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 |  Rio Ave | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
| 15 |  Vitória SC | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 |  Nacional | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 4 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -14 | 4 |
| 18 |  Estoril | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 2 |
Moreirense vs Benfica: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Moreirense vs Benfica?
+
Benfica are favourites. Our model gives Moreirense a 17% chance of winning, Benfica 42%, and the draw 41%.
Will both teams score in Moreirense vs Benfica?
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We rate both teams to score at 66%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Moreirense vs Benfica kick off?
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Moreirense vs Benfica kicks off at 19:45 UTC on Wednesday, 9 September 2026 at Parque de Jogos Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas, Moreira de Cónegos.
