Coppa Italia· Round of 16
Monza
AC Milan2 Dec
Monza vs AC Milan Prediction & Betting Tips
Wednesday, 2 December 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
0-1
Fair odds
1.80
Expected goals
1.0 - 1.9
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Monza vs AC Milan tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5AC Milan +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.08 | - |
| X2AC Milan or Draw | 83% | 1.20 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Monza +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 67% | 1.48 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 67% | 1.49 | - |
| 1XMonza or Draw | 58% | 1.74 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 55% | 1.83 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 45% | 2.20 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 45% | 2.24 | - |
| 2AC Milan to win | 42% | 2.36 | - |
| XDraw | 41% | 2.45 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 33% | 3.03 | - |
| AH2 -1.5AC Milan -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 33% | 3.07 | - |
| 1Monza to win | 17% | 5.95 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Monza -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 13.20 | - |
Monza vs AC Milan preview & analysis
Match preview
Monza host AC Milan in the Coppa Italia (Round of 16) on Wednesday, 2 December 2026, with kick-off at 17:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Monza are struggling for results, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 12. Most recently they lost to Lazio 1-3 away. AC Milan arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat Red Bull Salzburg 4-0 away.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Monza have won 1, AC Milan have won 5 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 3.2 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes AC Milan narrow favourites: Monza 17%, draw 41%, AC Milan 42%. We expect around 2.9 goals (1.0 - 1.9 in expected goals), with 55% for over 2.5 and 55% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 55% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Monza 0-1 AC Milan.
Recent form
Monza- 11 OctALazio1-3
- 3 OctAStade Brestois 292-2
- 26 SeptHCremonese2-3
- 18 SeptHSassuolo2-1
- 13 SeptALecce2-3
AC Milan- 15 OctARed Bull Salzburg4-0
- 11 OctASassuolo1-1
- 20 SeptHLecce3-0
- 16 SeptHBenfica0-2
- 12 SeptALazio2-2
Head to head
Monza vs AC Milan: FAQ
What is the Monza vs AC Milan prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Monza 0-1 AC Milan.
Who is the favourite to win Monza vs AC Milan?
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AC Milan are favourites. Our model gives Monza a 17% chance of winning, AC Milan 42%, and the draw 41%.
Will both teams score in Monza vs AC Milan?
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We rate both teams to score at 55%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Monza vs AC Milan kick off?
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Monza vs AC Milan kicks off at 17:00 UTC on Wednesday, 2 December 2026.
