Coppa Italia· Round of 16· Stadio Artemio Franchi
Fiorentina
Napoli2 Dec
Fiorentina vs Napoli Prediction & Betting Tips
Wednesday, 2 December 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-2
Fair odds
1.56
Expected goals
1.2 - 2.1
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Fiorentina vs Napoli tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Napoli +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.09 | - |
| X2Napoli or Draw | 83% | 1.20 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Fiorentina +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 64% | 1.56 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 61% | 1.64 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 58% | 1.72 | - |
| 1XFiorentina or Draw | 58% | 1.74 | - |
| 2Napoli to win | 42% | 2.36 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 42% | 2.38 | - |
| XDraw | 41% | 2.45 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 39% | 2.57 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Napoli -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 36% | 2.78 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 36% | 2.78 | - |
| 1Fiorentina to win | 17% | 5.95 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Fiorentina -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 12.45 | - |
Fiorentina vs Napoli preview & analysis
Match preview
Fiorentina host Napoli in the Coppa Italia (Round of 16) at Stadio Artemio Franchi on Wednesday, 2 December 2026, with kick-off at 17:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Fiorentina arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 7. Most recently they lost to Genoa 1-2 away. Napoli arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 5. Most recently they lost to Villarreal 1-3 away.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Fiorentina have won 0, Napoli have won 4 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 3.2 goals, and both teams scored in 5 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Napoli narrow favourites: Fiorentina 17%, draw 41%, Napoli 42%. We expect around 3.3 goals (1.2 - 2.1 in expected goals), with 64% for over 2.5 and 61% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 64% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Fiorentina 1-2 Napoli.
Recent form
Fiorentina- 10 OctAGenoa1-2
- 20 SeptHNapoli1-1
- 15 SeptHPisa3-0
- 11 SeptAVenezia4-2
- 5 SeptHTorino1-2
Napoli- 13 OctAVillarreal1-3
- 10 OctHFrosinone3-0
- 20 SeptAFiorentina1-1
- 13 SeptHBologna1-0
- 9 SeptHArsenal0-1
Head to head
Fiorentina vs Napoli: FAQ
What is the Fiorentina vs Napoli prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Fiorentina 1-2 Napoli.
Who is the favourite to win Fiorentina vs Napoli?
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Napoli are favourites. Our model gives Fiorentina a 17% chance of winning, Napoli 42%, and the draw 41%.
Will both teams score in Fiorentina vs Napoli?
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We rate both teams to score at 61%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Fiorentina vs Napoli kick off?
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Fiorentina vs Napoli kicks off at 17:00 UTC on Wednesday, 2 December 2026 at Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence.
