Ligue 2· Regular Season - 6· Stade de la Mosson
Montpellier
PAU1-0
FT
Montpellier vs PAU Prediction & Betting Tips
Friday, 11 September 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
Add to My Teams
Pick the teams and leagues you care about. We save them on this device, no sign-up needed.
Fan vote
Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
Votes: 0How many goals?
Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Montpellier vs PAU tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5PAU +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.08 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 91% | 1.10 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Montpellier +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 84% | 1.20 | - |
| X2PAU or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 76% | 1.32 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 68% | 1.47 | - |
| 1XMontpellier or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| 2PAU to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 32% | 3.15 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 24% | 4.12 | - |
| 1Montpellier to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH2 -1.5PAU -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 16% | 6.12 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 9% | 10.73 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Montpellier -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 14.33 | - |
Montpellier vs PAU preview & analysis
Match preview
Montpellier host PAU in the Ligue 2 (Regular Season - 6) at Stade de la Mosson on Friday, 11 September 2026, with kick-off at 18:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Montpellier arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 3 matches, scoring 2 and conceding 3. Most recently they lost to Saint Etienne 1-3 away. They're 3rd in the table with 15 points from 8 games. PAU arrive in mixed form, with 0 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 2 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 3. Most recently they drew with Sochaux 1-1 at home. They're 8th in the table with 11 points from 8 games.
Head to head
In the last 3 meetings between these sides, Montpellier have won 0, PAU have won 2 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 1.3 goals, and both teams scored in 1 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes PAU narrow favourites: Montpellier 23%, draw 38%, PAU 39%. We expect around 1.7 goals (0.7 - 1.0 in expected goals), with 24% for over 2.5 and 32% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Montpellier- 5 SeptASaint Etienne1-3
- 28 AugHBoulogne0-0
- 21 AugADunkerque1-0
PAU- 4 SeptHSochaux1-1
- 28 AugARodez2-2
Head to head
Ligue 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Saint Etienne | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +13 | 19 |
| 2 |  RED Star FC 93 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 17 |
| 3 | Montpellier | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 15 |
| 4 |  Reims | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | +6 | 14 |
| 5 |  Nancy | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
| 6 |  Annecy | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 13 |
| 7 |  Dijon | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 12 |
| 8 | PAU | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 |  Sochaux | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 |  Metz | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 11 |  Guingamp | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 |  Dunkerque | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 |  Nantes | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 |  Grenoble | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 |  Rodez | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 7 |
| 16 |  Boulogne | 8 | 0 | 6 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 17 |  Clermont Foot | 8 | 0 | 6 | 2 | -3 | 6 |
| 18 |  Laval | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 5 |
Montpellier vs PAU: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Montpellier vs PAU?
+
PAU are favourites. Our model gives Montpellier a 23% chance of winning, PAU 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Montpellier vs PAU?
+
We rate both teams to score at 32%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does Montpellier vs PAU kick off?
+
Montpellier vs PAU kicks off at 18:00 UTC on Friday, 11 September 2026 at Stade de la Mosson, Montpellier.
