Serie A· Regular Season - 4· Stadio Pierluigi Penzo
Venezia
Fiorentina2-4
FT
Venezia vs Fiorentina Prediction & Betting Tips
Friday, 11 September 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
Add to My Teams
Pick the teams and leagues you care about. We save them on this device, no sign-up needed.
Fan vote
Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
Votes: 0How many goals?
Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Venezia vs Fiorentina tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Venezia +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.09 | - |
| 1XVenezia or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Fiorentina +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 65% | 1.53 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 61% | 1.63 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 61% | 1.64 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 59% | 1.70 | - |
| X2Fiorentina or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| 1Venezia to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 41% | 2.43 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 39% | 2.56 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 39% | 2.59 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Venezia -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 35% | 2.89 | - |
| 2Fiorentina to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Fiorentina -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 12.59 | - |
Venezia vs Fiorentina preview & analysis
Match preview
Venezia host Fiorentina in the Serie A (Regular Season - 4) at Stadio Pierluigi Penzo on Friday, 11 September 2026, with kick-off at 18:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Venezia are struggling for results, with 0 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 3 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 7. Most recently they lost to Frosinone 2-3 away. They're 20th in the table with 0 points from 6 games. Fiorentina arrive in mixed form, with 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 2 matches, scoring 1 and conceding 5. Most recently they lost to Torino 1-2 at home. They're 19th in the table with 4 points from 6 games.
Head to head
In the last 4 meetings between these sides, Venezia have won 2, Fiorentina have won 1 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 1.3 goals, and both teams scored in 1 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Venezia narrow favourites: Venezia 44%, draw 38%, Fiorentina 18%. We expect around 3.2 goals (2.0 - 1.1 in expected goals), with 61% for over 2.5 and 59% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Venezia- 6 SeptAFrosinone2-3
- 2 SeptAUdinese1-2
- 28 AugAAC Milan0-2
Fiorentina- 5 SeptHTorino1-2
- 29 AugHFrosinone0-3
Head to head
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Inter | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +10 | 16 |
| 2 |  Lazio | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 16 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +11 | 14 |
| 4 |  Cagliari | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 13 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | +6 | 12 |
| 6 |  Juventus | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 11 |
| 7 |  Como | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 10 |
| 9 |  Frosinone | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 10 |
| 10 |  Atalanta | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 |  Sassuolo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 |  Torino | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 13 |  Lecce | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 14 |  Bologna | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 |  Udinese | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 |  Monza | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 17 |  Genoa | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 |  Parma | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 19 | Fiorentina | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -7 | 4 |
| 20 | Venezia | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -11 | 0 |
Venezia vs Fiorentina: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Venezia vs Fiorentina?
+
Venezia are favourites. Our model gives Venezia a 44% chance of winning, Fiorentina 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Venezia vs Fiorentina?
+
We rate both teams to score at 59%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Venezia vs Fiorentina kick off?
+
Venezia vs Fiorentina kicks off at 18:45 UTC on Friday, 11 September 2026 at Stadio Pierluigi Penzo, Venice.
