Serie B· Regular Season - 14· Stadio Alberto Braglia
Modena
Padova28 Nov
Modena vs Padova Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 28 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Both teams NOT to score
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.86
Expected goals
1.8 - 0.8
Add to My Teams
Pick the teams and leagues you care about. We save them on this device, no sign-up needed.
Fan vote
Who will win?
Votes: 0Vote to see what other fans think
How many goals?
Votes: 0Vote to see what other fans think
Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Modena vs Padova tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Modena +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 95% | 1.05 | - |
| 1XModena or Draw | 88% | 1.14 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.36 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Padova +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 65% | 1.54 | - |
| X2Padova or Draw | 53% | 1.88 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.93 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.08 | - |
| 1Modena to win | 47% | 2.14 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 46% | 2.16 | - |
| XDraw | 41% | 2.45 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Modena -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 35% | 2.84 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 3.79 | - |
| 2Padova to win | 12% | 8.06 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Padova -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 5% | 20.15 | - |
Modena vs Padova preview & analysis
Match preview
Modena host Padova in the Serie B (Regular Season - 14) at Stadio Alberto Braglia on Saturday, 28 November 2026, with kick-off at 14:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Modena arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat Hellas Verona 3-2 at home. They're 3rd in the table with 13 points from 6 games. Padova are struggling for results, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 8. Most recently they lost to Carrarese 0-2 at home. They're 11th in the table with 7 points from 6 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Modena have won 3, Padova have won 3 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 1.8 goals, and both teams scored in 1 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Modena favourites: Modena 47%, draw 41%, Padova 12%. We expect around 2.6 goals (1.8 - 0.8 in expected goals), with 48% for over 2.5 and 46% for both teams to score.
Our tip
At least one of these sides should struggle to score, so we're backing BTTS No. Our pick is Both teams NOT to score, which our model rates at a 54% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Modena 1-0 Padova.
Recent form
Modena- 11 OctHHellas Verona3-2
- 20 SeptHEmpoli2-1
- 12 SeptASudtirol1-1
- 6 SeptHAvellino0-1
- 28 AugACremonese3-0
Padova- 11 OctHCarrarese0-2
- 19 SeptAPalermo1-2
- 12 SeptHAscoli1-0
- 6 SeptACremonese1-3
- 29 AugHHellas Verona1-1
Head to head
Serie B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palermo | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 16 |
| 2 |  Mantova | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +7 | 14 |
| 3 | Modena | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 |  Sudtirol | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | +6 | 12 |
| 5 |  Ascoli | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11 |
| 6 |  Avellino | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 10 |
| 7 |  Pisa | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 10 |
| 8 |  Benevento | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 10 |
| 9 |  Hellas Verona | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 8 |
| 10 |  Cesena | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -1 | 7 |
| 11 | Padova | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 12 |  Arezzo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -7 | 7 |
| 13 |  Empoli | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 6 |
| 14 |  Virtus Entella | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 6 |
| 15 |  Cremonese | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 |  Vicenza Virtus | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 5 |
| 17 |  Sampdoria | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -7 | 4 |
| 18 |  Catanzaro | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -6 | 4 |
| 19 |  Carrarese | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 20 |  Juve Stabia | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -3 | 2 |
Modena vs Padova: FAQ
What is the Modena vs Padova prediction?
+
Our tip is Both teams NOT to score. Our predicted score is Modena 1-0 Padova.
Who is the favourite to win Modena vs Padova?
+
Modena are favourites. Our model gives Modena a 47% chance of winning, Padova 12%, and the draw 41%.
Will both teams score in Modena vs Padova?
+
We rate both teams to score at 46%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Modena vs Padova kick off?
+
Modena vs Padova kicks off at 14:00 UTC on Saturday, 28 November 2026 at Stadio Alberto Braglia, Modena.
