Championship· Semi-finals· Riverside Stadium
Middlesbrough
Southampton0-0
FT
Middlesbrough vs Southampton Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 9 May 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Middlesbrough vs Southampton tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Middlesbrough +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.09 | - |
| 1XMiddlesbrough or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 66% | 1.51 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Southampton +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 63% | 1.58 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 63% | 1.60 | - |
| X2Southampton or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 56% | 1.79 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 44% | 2.26 | - |
| 1Middlesbrough to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 37% | 2.67 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Middlesbrough -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 37% | 2.73 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 34% | 2.94 | - |
| 2Southampton to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Southampton -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 12.20 | - |
Middlesbrough vs Southampton preview & analysis
Match preview
Middlesbrough host Southampton in the Championship (Semi-finals) at Riverside Stadium on Saturday, 9 May 2026, with kick-off at 11:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Middlesbrough have won 2, Southampton have won 2 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Middlesbrough narrow favourites: Middlesbrough 44%, draw 38%, Southampton 18%. We expect around 3.4 goals (2.2 - 1.2 in expected goals), with 66% for over 2.5 and 63% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Coventry | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | +52 | 95 |
| 2 |  Ipswich | 46 | 23 | 15 | 8 | +33 | 84 |
| 3 |  Millwall | 46 | 24 | 11 | 11 | +15 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | +26 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | +25 | 80 |
| 6 |  Hull City | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | +4 | 73 |
| 7 |  Wrexham | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | +4 | 71 |
Middlesbrough vs Southampton: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Middlesbrough vs Southampton?
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Middlesbrough are favourites. Our model gives Middlesbrough a 44% chance of winning, Southampton 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Middlesbrough vs Southampton?
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We rate both teams to score at 63%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Middlesbrough vs Southampton kick off?
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Middlesbrough vs Southampton kicks off at 11:30 UTC on Saturday, 9 May 2026 at Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough.
