A-League· Regular Season - 2· AAMI Park
Melbourne Victory
Melbourne City24 Oct
Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Both teams to score
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.89
Expected goals
1.4 - 1.2
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Fan vote
Who will win?
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Melbourne Victory +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 86% | 1.17 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Melbourne City +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 82% | 1.22 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.36 | - |
| 1XMelbourne Victory or Draw | 68% | 1.48 | - |
| X2Melbourne City or Draw | 63% | 1.58 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.93 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.08 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 47% | 2.12 | - |
| 1Melbourne Victory to win | 37% | 2.72 | - |
| 2Melbourne City to win | 32% | 3.09 | - |
| XDraw | 31% | 3.25 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 3.79 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Melbourne Victory -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 18% | 5.45 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Melbourne City -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 14% | 6.92 | - |
Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City preview & analysis
Match preview
Melbourne Victory host Melbourne City in the A-League (Regular Season - 2) at AAMI Park on Saturday, 24 October 2026, with kick-off at 08:40 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Melbourne Victory arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 2. Most recently they beat FC Seoul 3-0 at home. They're 8th in the table with 0 points from 0 games. Melbourne City arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat Oakleigh Cannons 2-0 away. They're 9th in the table with 0 points from 0 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Melbourne Victory have won 2, Melbourne City have won 2 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 2.3 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Melbourne Victory narrow favourites: Melbourne Victory 37%, draw 31%, Melbourne City 32%. We expect around 2.6 goals (1.4 - 1.2 in expected goals), with 48% for over 2.5 and 53% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both attacks are firing and neither defence has been keeping clean sheets. We expect goals at both ends. Our pick is Both teams to score, which our model rates at a 53% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Melbourne Victory 1-0 Melbourne City.
Recent form
Melbourne Victory- 14 OctHFC Seoul3-0
- 10 OctASouth Melbourne1-1
- 16 SeptAViettel1-1
- 9 SeptASydney2-0
- 19 AugAAPIA Leichhardt Tigers1-0
Melbourne City- 25 SeptAOakleigh Cannons2-0
- 11 AugALions0-2
- 7 AugHPalermo0-2
- 26 JulAWeston Bears3-0
- 2 MayAAuckland1-1
Head to head
A-League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Adelaide United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 |  Central Coast Mariners | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 |  Newcastle Jets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 |  Perth Glory | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 |  Brisbane Roar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 |  Sydney | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 |  Wellington Phoenix | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Melbourne Victory | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Melbourne City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 |  Western Sydney Wanderers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 |  Macarthur | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 |  Auckland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City: FAQ
What is the Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City prediction?
+
Our tip is Both teams to score. Our predicted score is Melbourne Victory 1-0 Melbourne City.
Who is the favourite to win Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City?
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Melbourne Victory are favourites. Our model gives Melbourne Victory a 37% chance of winning, Melbourne City 32%, and the draw 31%.
Will both teams score in Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City?
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We rate both teams to score at 53%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City kick off?
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Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City kicks off at 08:40 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at AAMI Park, Melbourne.
