Veikkausliiga· Regular Season - 7· Wiklof Holding Arena
Mariehamn
KuPS1-1
FT
Mariehamn vs KuPS Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 16 May 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Fan vote
Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
Votes: 0How many goals?
Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Mariehamn vs KuPS tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5KuPS +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 91% | 1.10 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 82% | 1.22 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Mariehamn +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 79% | 1.27 | - |
| X2KuPS or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 62% | 1.61 | - |
| 1XMariehamn or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 57% | 1.76 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 43% | 2.32 | - |
| 2KuPS to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| 1Mariehamn to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH2 -1.5KuPS -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 21% | 4.72 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 18% | 5.54 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Mariehamn -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 9% | 11.44 | - |
Mariehamn vs KuPS preview & analysis
Match preview
Mariehamn host KuPS in the Veikkausliiga (Regular Season - 7) at Wiklof Holding Arena on Saturday, 16 May 2026, with kick-off at 14:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Mariehamn have won 1, KuPS have won 4 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 3.2 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes KuPS narrow favourites: Mariehamn 23%, draw 38%, KuPS 39%. We expect around 2.2 goals (0.9 - 1.3 in expected goals), with 38% for over 2.5 and 43% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Veikkausliiga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KuPS | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | +15 | 43 |
| 2 |  Inter Turku | 22 | 11 | 9 | 2 | +13 | 42 |
| 3 |  HJK Helsinki | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | +9 | 37 |
| 4 |  Gnistan | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | +7 | 36 |
| 5 |  AC Oulu | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 34 |
| 6 |  VPS | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | +7 | 33 |
| 7 |  Lahti | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | +7 | 32 |
| 8 |  Turku PS | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | +5 | 31 |
| 9 |  Ilves | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | -3 | 25 |
| 10 |  SJK | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -8 | 19 |
| 11 |  FF Jaro | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | -26 | 15 |
| 12 | Mariehamn | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | -26 | 14 |
Mariehamn vs KuPS: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Mariehamn vs KuPS?
+
KuPS are favourites. Our model gives Mariehamn a 23% chance of winning, KuPS 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Mariehamn vs KuPS?
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We rate both teams to score at 43%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does Mariehamn vs KuPS kick off?
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Mariehamn vs KuPS kicks off at 14:00 UTC on Saturday, 16 May 2026 at Wiklof Holding Arena, Mariehamn.
