Premier League· Regular Season - 4· Old Trafford
Manchester United
Manchester City0-1
FT
Manchester United vs Manchester City Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 13 September 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Manchester United vs Manchester City tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Manchester City +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 88% | 1.14 | - |
| X2Manchester City or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 71% | 1.42 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 69% | 1.46 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Manchester United +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 68% | 1.47 | - |
| 1XManchester United or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 50% | 1.98 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 50% | 2.02 | - |
| 2Manchester City to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Manchester City -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 32% | 3.14 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 31% | 3.18 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 29% | 3.40 | - |
| 1Manchester United to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Manchester United -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 12% | 8.38 | - |
Manchester United vs Manchester City preview & analysis
Match preview
Manchester United host Manchester City in the Premier League (Regular Season - 4) at Old Trafford on Sunday, 13 September 2026, with kick-off at 15:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Manchester United arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 1 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 0. Most recently they beat Sabah FA 4-0 at home. They're 13th in the table with 6 points from 6 games. Manchester City arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 1 matches, scoring 2 and conceding 0. Most recently they beat FC Porto 2-0 away. They're 1st in the table with 18 points from 6 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Manchester United have won 3, Manchester City have won 1 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 2.2 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Manchester City narrow favourites: Manchester United 23%, draw 38%, Manchester City 39%. We expect around 3.6 goals (1.5 - 2.2 in expected goals), with 71% for over 2.5 and 69% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Manchester United- 10 SeptHSabah FA4-0
Manchester City- 8 SeptAFC Porto2-0
Head to head
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 15 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +13 | 13 |
| 4 |  Brentford | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +6 | 10 |
| 5 |  Everton | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +3 | 10 |
| 6 |  Chelsea | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 10 |
| 7 |  Leeds | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 |  Hull City | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 9 |
| 9 |  Liverpool | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 |  Ipswich | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 11 |  Newcastle | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 |  Crystal Palace | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 | Manchester United | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 14 |  Coventry | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 15 |  Nottingham Forest | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 |  Aston Villa | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 5 |
| 17 |  Sunderland | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 |  Bournemouth | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 3 |
| 19 |  Tottenham | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 3 |
| 20 |  Fulham | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 2 |
Manchester United vs Manchester City: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Manchester United vs Manchester City?
+
Manchester City are favourites. Our model gives Manchester United a 23% chance of winning, Manchester City 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Manchester United vs Manchester City?
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We rate both teams to score at 69%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Manchester United vs Manchester City kick off?
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Manchester United vs Manchester City kicks off at 15:30 UTC on Sunday, 13 September 2026 at Old Trafford, Manchester.
