Ligue 1· Regular Season - 4· Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre Mauroy
Lille
Estac Troyes2-0
FT
Lille vs Estac Troyes Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 13 September 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Lille vs Estac Troyes tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Lille +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.08 | - |
| 1XLille or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Estac Troyes +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 67% | 1.50 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 65% | 1.55 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.73 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 56% | 1.77 | - |
| X2Estac Troyes or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| 1Lille to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 44% | 2.29 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.36 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 2.83 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Lille -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 33% | 3.00 | - |
| 2Estac Troyes to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Estac Troyes -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 12.88 | - |
Lille vs Estac Troyes preview & analysis
Match preview
Lille host Estac Troyes in the Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 4) at Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre Mauroy on Sunday, 13 September 2026, with kick-off at 13:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Lille arrive in mixed form, with 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 1 matches, scoring 2 and conceding 3. Most recently they lost to Real Betis 2-3 at home. They're 2nd in the table with 13 points from 6 games. Estac Troyes arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 2 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 7. Most recently they lost to Strasbourg 2-6 at home. They're 17th in the table with 4 points from 6 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Lille have won 3, Estac Troyes have won 2 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 2.8 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Lille narrow favourites: Lille 44%, draw 38%, Estac Troyes 18%. We expect around 3.0 goals (1.9 - 1.1 in expected goals), with 58% for over 2.5 and 56% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Lille- 8 SeptHReal Betis2-3
Estac Troyes- 6 SeptHStrasbourg2-6
- 29 AugALorient2-1
Head to head
Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Monaco | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +5 | 14 |
| 2 | Lille | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 13 |
| 3 |  Rennes | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 13 |
| 4 |  Lyon | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 11 |
| 5 |  Paris FC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 11 |
| 6 |  Paris Saint Germain | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11 |
| 7 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 8 |
| 8 |  Lorient | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 |  Nice | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 |  Lens | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 7 |
| 11 |  Strasbourg | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 |  Angers | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 |  Marseille | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | +1 | 6 |
| 14 |  Le Mans | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 |  Toulouse | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 |  Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -8 | 6 |
| 17 | Estac Troyes | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 2 |
Lille vs Estac Troyes: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Lille vs Estac Troyes?
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Lille are favourites. Our model gives Lille a 44% chance of winning, Estac Troyes 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Lille vs Estac Troyes?
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We rate both teams to score at 56%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Lille vs Estac Troyes kick off?
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Lille vs Estac Troyes kicks off at 13:00 UTC on Sunday, 13 September 2026 at Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre Mauroy, Lille.
