Premier League· Regular Season - 35· Old Trafford
Manchester United
Liverpool3-2
FT
Manchester United vs Liverpool Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 3 May 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Manchester United vs Liverpool tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Liverpool +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 89% | 1.12 | - |
| X2Liverpool or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Manchester United +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 73% | 1.37 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 67% | 1.49 | - |
| 1XManchester United or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 57% | 1.76 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 1.80 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 45% | 2.24 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 43% | 2.32 | - |
| 2Liverpool to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 33% | 3.03 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Liverpool -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 27% | 3.72 | - |
| 1Manchester United to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Manchester United -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 11% | 9.45 | - |
Manchester United vs Liverpool preview & analysis
Match preview
Manchester United host Liverpool in the Premier League (Regular Season - 35) at Old Trafford on Sunday, 3 May 2026, with kick-off at 14:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Manchester United have won 2, Liverpool have won 2 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 4.0 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Liverpool narrow favourites: Manchester United 23%, draw 38%, Liverpool 39%. We expect around 2.9 goals (1.2 - 1.7 in expected goals), with 55% for over 2.5 and 57% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | +44 | 85 |
| 2 |  Manchester City | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | +42 | 78 |
| 3 | Manchester United | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | +19 | 71 |
| 4 |  Aston Villa | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | +7 | 65 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | +10 | 60 |
| 6 |  Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | +4 | 57 |
| 7 |  Sunderland | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | -6 | 54 |
| 8 |  Brighton | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | +6 | 53 |
| 9 |  Brentford | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | +3 | 53 |
| 10 |  Chelsea | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | +6 | 52 |
| 11 |  Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | -4 | 52 |
| 12 |  Newcastle | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | -2 | 49 |
| 13 |  Everton | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | -3 | 49 |
| 14 |  Leeds | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | -7 | 47 |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | -10 | 45 |
| 16 |  Nottingham Forest | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | -3 | 44 |
| 17 |  Tottenham | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | -9 | 41 |
| 18 |  West Ham | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | -19 | 39 |
| 19 |  Burnley | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | -37 | 22 |
| 20 |  Wolves | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | -41 | 20 |
Manchester United vs Liverpool: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Manchester United vs Liverpool?
+
Liverpool are favourites. Our model gives Manchester United a 23% chance of winning, Liverpool 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Manchester United vs Liverpool?
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We rate both teams to score at 57%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Manchester United vs Liverpool kick off?
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Manchester United vs Liverpool kicks off at 14:30 UTC on Sunday, 3 May 2026 at Old Trafford, Manchester.
