Premier League· Regular Season - 9· Etihad Stadium
Manchester City
Brighton31 Oct
Manchester City vs Brighton Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-2
Fair odds
1.40
Expected goals
1.5 - 2.2
Add to My Teams
Pick the teams and leagues you care about. We save them on this device, no sign-up needed.
Fan vote
Who will win?
Votes: 0Vote to see what other fans think
How many goals?
Votes: 0Vote to see what other fans think
Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Manchester City vs Brighton tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Brighton +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 88% | 1.14 | - |
| X2Brighton or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 69% | 1.44 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Manchester City +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 68% | 1.47 | - |
| 1XManchester City or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 51% | 1.98 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 49% | 2.02 | - |
| 2Brighton to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Brighton -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 32% | 3.11 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 31% | 3.25 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 29% | 3.50 | - |
| 1Manchester City to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Manchester City -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 12% | 8.33 | - |
Manchester City vs Brighton preview & analysis
Match preview
Manchester City host Brighton in the Premier League (Regular Season - 9) at Etihad Stadium on Saturday, 31 October 2026, with kick-off at 15:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Manchester City arrive in superb form, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 7. Most recently they lost to Paris Saint Germain 2-4 at home. They're 1st in the table with 18 points from 6 games. Brighton arrive in superb form, with 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 2. Most recently they beat Kauno Žalgiris 4-0 at home. They're 3rd in the table with 13 points from 6 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Manchester City have won 2, Brighton have won 2 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 3.2 goals, and both teams scored in 5 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Brighton narrow favourites: Manchester City 23%, draw 38%, Brighton 39%. We expect around 3.7 goals (1.5 - 2.2 in expected goals), with 71% for over 2.5 and 69% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 71% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Manchester City 1-2 Brighton.
Recent form
Manchester City- 14 OctHParis Saint Germain2-4
- 11 OctALiverpool3-0
- 20 SeptHSunderland5-3
- 17 SeptHNorwich5-0
- 13 SeptAManchester United1-0
Brighton- 15 OctHKauno Žalgiris4-0
- 10 OctASunderland2-0
- 19 SeptHArsenal3-0
- 16 SeptAManchester United3-2
- 13 SeptACoventry5-0
Head to head
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 15 |
| 3 | Brighton | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +13 | 13 |
| 4 |  Brentford | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +6 | 10 |
| 5 |  Everton | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +3 | 10 |
| 6 |  Chelsea | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 10 |
| 7 |  Leeds | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 |  Hull City | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 9 |
| 9 |  Liverpool | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 |  Ipswich | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 11 |  Newcastle | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 |  Crystal Palace | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 |  Manchester United | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 14 |  Coventry | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 15 |  Nottingham Forest | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 |  Aston Villa | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 5 |
| 17 |  Sunderland | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 |  Bournemouth | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 3 |
| 19 |  Tottenham | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 3 |
| 20 |  Fulham | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 2 |
Manchester City vs Brighton: FAQ
What is the Manchester City vs Brighton prediction?
+
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Manchester City 1-2 Brighton.
Who is the favourite to win Manchester City vs Brighton?
+
Brighton are favourites. Our model gives Manchester City a 23% chance of winning, Brighton 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Manchester City vs Brighton?
+
We rate both teams to score at 69%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Manchester City vs Brighton kick off?
+
Manchester City vs Brighton kicks off at 15:00 UTC on Saturday, 31 October 2026 at Etihad Stadium, Manchester.
