La Liga 2· Regular Season - 39· Estadio La Rosaleda
Malaga
Sporting Gijon2-1
FT
Malaga vs Sporting Gijon Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 9 May 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Malaga vs Sporting Gijon tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Malaga +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.09 | - |
| 1XMalaga or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Sporting Gijon +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 64% | 1.56 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 64% | 1.56 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 61% | 1.64 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 58% | 1.72 | - |
| X2Sporting Gijon or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| 1Malaga to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 42% | 2.38 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 39% | 2.57 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 36% | 2.78 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Malaga -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 36% | 2.79 | - |
| 2Sporting Gijon to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Sporting Gijon -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 12.34 | - |
Malaga vs Sporting Gijon preview & analysis
Match preview
Malaga host Sporting Gijon in the La Liga 2 (Regular Season - 39) at Estadio La Rosaleda on Saturday, 9 May 2026, with kick-off at 19:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Malaga have won 3, Sporting Gijon have won 0 and 3 ended level. Those games averaged 2.8 goals, and both teams scored in 5 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Malaga narrow favourites: Malaga 44%, draw 38%, Sporting Gijon 18%. We expect around 3.3 goals (2.1 - 1.2 in expected goals), with 64% for over 2.5 and 61% for both teams to score.
Head to head
La Liga 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Racing Santander | 42 | 25 | 7 | 10 | +29 | 82 |
| 2 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 42 | 22 | 11 | 9 | +21 | 77 |
| 3 |  Almeria | 42 | 22 | 8 | 12 | +18 | 74 |
| 4 | Malaga | 42 | 21 | 10 | 11 | +23 | 73 |
| 5 |  Las Palmas | 42 | 20 | 13 | 9 | +17 | 73 |
| 6 |  Castellón | 42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | +19 | 72 |
| 7 |  Burgos | 42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | +15 | 72 |
| 8 |  Eibar | 42 | 19 | 10 | 13 | +12 | 67 |
| 9 | Sporting Gijon | 42 | 18 | 7 | 17 | +6 | 61 |
| 10 |  Cordoba | 42 | 17 | 10 | 15 | -4 | 61 |
| 11 |  AD Ceuta FC | 42 | 17 | 10 | 15 | -12 | 61 |
Malaga vs Sporting Gijon: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Malaga vs Sporting Gijon?
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Malaga are favourites. Our model gives Malaga a 44% chance of winning, Sporting Gijon 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Malaga vs Sporting Gijon?
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We rate both teams to score at 61%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Malaga vs Sporting Gijon kick off?
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Malaga vs Sporting Gijon kicks off at 19:00 UTC on Saturday, 9 May 2026 at Estadio La Rosaleda, Malaga.
