J1 League· Regular Season - 14· Machida GION Stadium
Machida Zelvia
Sanfrecce Hiroshima8 Nov
Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 8 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-2
Fair odds
1.51
Expected goals
1.4 - 2.0
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Match probabilities
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More Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Sanfrecce Hiroshima +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 88% | 1.13 | - |
| X2Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Machida Zelvia +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 70% | 1.43 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 65% | 1.54 | - |
| 1XMachida Zelvia or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 56% | 1.79 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 44% | 2.26 | - |
| 2Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 35% | 2.86 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 34% | 2.94 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Sanfrecce Hiroshima -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 30% | 3.30 | - |
| 1Machida Zelvia to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Machida Zelvia -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 12% | 8.67 | - |
Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima preview & analysis
Match preview
Machida Zelvia host Sanfrecce Hiroshima in the J1 League (Regular Season - 14) at Machida GION Stadium on Sunday, 8 November 2026, with kick-off at 05:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Machida Zelvia arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat Tampines Rovers 1-0 away. They're 3rd in the table with 20 points from 9 games. Sanfrecce Hiroshima arrive in superb form, with 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 0. Most recently they beat Matsumoto Yamaga 1-0 away. They're 2nd in the table with 20 points from 9 games.
Head to head
In the last 4 meetings between these sides, Machida Zelvia have won 0, Sanfrecce Hiroshima have won 4 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 2.8 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Sanfrecce Hiroshima narrow favourites: Machida Zelvia 23%, draw 38%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 39%. We expect around 3.4 goals (1.4 - 2.0 in expected goals), with 66% for over 2.5 and 65% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 66% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Machida Zelvia 1-2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
Recent form
Machida Zelvia- 15 OctATampines Rovers1-0
- 10 OctAKyoto Sanga1-0
- 3 OctHKyoto Sanga0-0
- 23 SeptHTochigi City2-1
- 20 SeptHKashiwa Reysol2-4
Sanfrecce Hiroshima- 14 OctAMatsumoto Yamaga1-0
- 11 OctATokyo Verdy2-0
- 7 OctHIwaki4-0
- 29 SeptATochigi City2-0
- 19 SeptAAvispa Fukuoka1-0
Head to head
J1 League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kashiwa Reysol | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +7 | 21 |
| 2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +16 | 20 |
| 3 | Machida Zelvia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +12 | 20 |
| 4 |  FC Tokyo | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 20 |
| 5 |  Vissel Kobe | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 19 |
| 6 |  Kashima | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 7 |  Yokohama F. Marinos | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 15 |
| 8 |  Kawasaki Frontale | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +3 | 13 |
| 9 |  Fagiano Okayama | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 |  Shimizu S-pulse | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 |  Urawa | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 12 |  Cerezo Osaka | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 12 |
| 13 |  Mito Hollyhock | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 9 |
| 14 |  V-varen Nagasaki | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 |  Nagoya Grampus | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 9 |
| 16 |  Kyoto Sanga | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 8 |
| 17 |  Avispa Fukuoka | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -2 | 7 |
| 18 |  Gamba Osaka | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -8 | 6 |
| 19 |  JEF United Chiba | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 5 |
| 20 |  Tokyo Verdy | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -10 | 4 |
Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima: FAQ
What is the Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Machida Zelvia 1-2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
Who is the favourite to win Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
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Sanfrecce Hiroshima are favourites. Our model gives Machida Zelvia a 23% chance of winning, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
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We rate both teams to score at 65%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima kick off?
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Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima kicks off at 05:00 UTC on Sunday, 8 November 2026 at Machida GION Stadium, Machida.
