J1 League· Regular Season - 10· Machida GION Stadium
Machida Zelvia
Avispa Fukuoka18 Oct
Machida Zelvia vs Avispa Fukuoka Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 18 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.84
Expected goals
1.7 - 0.8
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Match probabilities
More Machida Zelvia vs Avispa Fukuoka tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Machida Zelvia +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 94% | 1.06 | 1.02 |
| 1XMachida Zelvia or Draw | 80% | 1.25 | 1.22 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 75% | 1.34 | 1.22 |
| AH2 +1.5Avispa Fukuoka +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 69% | 1.45 | 1.25 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 51% | 1.97 | 1.85 |
| X2Avispa Fukuoka or Draw | 50% | 1.99 | 1.92 |
| 1Machida Zelvia to win | 50% | 2.01 | 1.90 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 49% | 2.04 | 1.87 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.20 | 2.09 |
| AH1 -1.5Machida Zelvia -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 31% | 3.23 | 3.28 |
| XDraw | 30% | 3.33 | 3.55 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 25% | 3.93 | 3.50 |
| 2Avispa Fukuoka to win | 20% | 4.94 | 4.30 |
| AH2 -1.5Avispa Fukuoka -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 6% | 16.77 | 9.10 |
Machida Zelvia vs Avispa Fukuoka odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.80 | 3.30 | 4.20 | - | - | 1.83 | 1.85 |
| 1xBet | 1.88 | 3.54 | 4.30 | 2.09 | 1.76 | 1.87 | 1.83 |
| Dafabet | 1.90 | 3.55 | 4.30 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 3.30 | 4.33 | 2.10 | 1.70 | 1.95 | 1.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.83 | 3.45 | 4.20 | 2.05 | 1.72 | 1.87 | 1.81 |
| Betfair | 1.80 | 3.50 | 4.33 | - | - | - | - |
| BetVictor | 1.83 | 3.40 | 4.20 | 2.00 | 1.69 | 1.90 | 1.80 |
| Pinnacle | 1.85 | 3.50 | 4.39 | 2.10 | 1.75 | - | - |
| SBO | 1.84 | 3.14 | 3.74 | 2.08 | 1.76 | - | - |
| Betano | 1.85 | 3.35 | 4.25 | 2.07 | 1.72 | 1.88 | 1.82 |
Machida Zelvia vs Avispa Fukuoka preview & analysis
Match preview
Machida Zelvia host Avispa Fukuoka in the J1 League (Regular Season - 10) at Machida GION Stadium on Sunday, 18 October 2026, with kick-off at 07:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Machida Zelvia arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 5. Most recently they drew with Tampines Rovers 0-0 away. They're 3rd in the table with 20 points from 9 games. Avispa Fukuoka are struggling for results, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 6. Most recently they lost to Sagan Tosu 1-2 away. They're 17th in the table with 7 points from 9 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Machida Zelvia have won 1, Avispa Fukuoka have won 1 and 4 ended level. Those games averaged 1.7 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Machida Zelvia favourites: Machida Zelvia 50%, draw 30%, Avispa Fukuoka 20%. We expect around 2.5 goals (1.7 - 0.8 in expected goals), with 46% for over 2.5 and 49% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals at 1.76, which our model rates at a 54% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Machida Zelvia 1-0 Avispa Fukuoka.
Recent form
Machida Zelvia- 15 OctATampines Rovers0-0
- 10 OctAKyoto Sanga1-0
- 3 OctHKyoto Sanga0-0
- 23 SeptHTochigi City2-1
- 20 SeptHKashiwa Reysol2-4
Avispa Fukuoka- 14 OctASagan Tosu1-2
- 10 OctHFagiano Okayama2-1
- 7 OctHYokohama FC0-1
- 29 SeptAOsaka2-1
- 19 SeptHSanfrecce Hiroshima0-1
Head to head
J1 League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kashiwa Reysol | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +7 | 21 |
| 2 |  Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +16 | 20 |
| 3 | Machida Zelvia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +12 | 20 |
| 4 |  FC Tokyo | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 20 |
| 5 |  Vissel Kobe | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 19 |
| 6 |  Kashima | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 7 |  Yokohama F. Marinos | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 15 |
| 8 |  Kawasaki Frontale | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +3 | 13 |
| 9 |  Fagiano Okayama | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 |  Shimizu S-pulse | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 |  Urawa | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 12 |  Cerezo Osaka | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 12 |
| 13 |  Mito Hollyhock | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 9 |
| 14 |  V-varen Nagasaki | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 |  Nagoya Grampus | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 9 |
| 16 |  Kyoto Sanga | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 8 |
| 17 | Avispa Fukuoka | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -2 | 7 |
| 18 |  Gamba Osaka | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -8 | 6 |
| 19 |  JEF United Chiba | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 5 |
| 20 |  Tokyo Verdy | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -10 | 4 |
Machida Zelvia vs Avispa Fukuoka: FAQ
What is the Machida Zelvia vs Avispa Fukuoka prediction?
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Our tip is Under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.76. Our predicted score is Machida Zelvia 1-0 Avispa Fukuoka.
Who is the favourite to win Machida Zelvia vs Avispa Fukuoka?
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Machida Zelvia are favourites. Our model gives Machida Zelvia a 50% chance of winning, Avispa Fukuoka 20%, and the draw 30%.
Will both teams score in Machida Zelvia vs Avispa Fukuoka?
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We rate both teams to score at 49%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Machida Zelvia vs Avispa Fukuoka kick off?
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Machida Zelvia vs Avispa Fukuoka kicks off at 07:00 UTC on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at Machida GION Stadium, Machida.
