Nations League· League C - 4· Stade de Luxembourg
Luxembourg
Bulgaria0-2
FT
Luxembourg vs Bulgaria Prediction & Betting Tips
Tuesday, 6 October 2026 · Kick-off
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Luxembourg vs Bulgaria tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Luxembourg +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 94% | 1.07 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 82% | 1.22 | - |
| 1XLuxembourg or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Bulgaria +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 75% | 1.34 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 62% | 1.61 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 59% | 1.70 | - |
| X2Bulgaria or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| 1Luxembourg to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 41% | 2.42 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Luxembourg -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 25% | 3.93 | - |
| 2Bulgaria to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 18% | 5.54 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Bulgaria -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 6% | 15.52 | - |
Luxembourg vs Bulgaria preview & analysis
Match preview
Luxembourg host Bulgaria in the Nations League (League C - 4) at Stade de Luxembourg on Tuesday, 6 October 2026, with kick-off at 18:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Luxembourg are struggling for results, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 6. Most recently they lost to Estonia 0-1 away. They're 4th in the table with 3 points from 4 games. Bulgaria are struggling for results, with 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 8. Most recently they lost to Iceland 0-3 away. They're 3rd in the table with 4 points from 4 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Luxembourg have won 1, Bulgaria have won 2 and 3 ended level. Those games averaged 2.2 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Luxembourg narrow favourites: Luxembourg 44%, draw 38%, Bulgaria 18%. We expect around 2.2 goals (1.4 - 0.8 in expected goals), with 38% for over 2.5 and 41% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Luxembourg- 3 OctAEstonia0-1
- 29 SeptHIceland0-3
- 26 SeptABulgaria2-1
- 6 JunAAlbania1-0
- 3 JunHItaly0-1
Bulgaria- 3 OctAIceland0-3
- 29 SeptHEstonia0-0
- 26 SeptHLuxembourg1-2
- 5 JunAMoldova2-2
- 1 JunHMontenegro0-1
Head to head
Nations League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Iceland | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +6 | 8 |
| 2 |  Estonia | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +1 | 6 |
| 3 | Bulgaria | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 |
| 4 | Luxembourg | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 3 |
Luxembourg vs Bulgaria: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Luxembourg vs Bulgaria?
+
Luxembourg are favourites. Our model gives Luxembourg a 44% chance of winning, Bulgaria 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Luxembourg vs Bulgaria?
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We rate both teams to score at 41%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does Luxembourg vs Bulgaria kick off?
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Luxembourg vs Bulgaria kicks off at 18:45 UTC on Tuesday, 6 October 2026 at Stade de Luxembourg, Luxembourg.
