Nations League· League A - 4· Stadion Poljud
Croatia
Spain1-2
FT
Croatia vs Spain Prediction & Betting Tips
Tuesday, 6 October 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
Votes: 0How many goals?
Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Croatia vs Spain tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Spain +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.09 | - |
| X2Spain or Draw | 83% | 1.20 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 73% | 1.37 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 68% | 1.47 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Croatia +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 60% | 1.66 | - |
| 1XCroatia or Draw | 58% | 1.74 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 53% | 1.90 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 47% | 2.11 | - |
| 2Spain to win | 42% | 2.36 | - |
| XDraw | 41% | 2.45 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Spain -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 40% | 2.51 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 32% | 3.12 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 27% | 3.72 | - |
| 1Croatia to win | 17% | 5.95 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Croatia -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 11.84 | - |
Croatia vs Spain preview & analysis
Match preview
Croatia host Spain in the Nations League (League A - 4) at Stadion Poljud on Tuesday, 6 October 2026, with kick-off at 18:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Croatia are struggling for results, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 15. Most recently they lost to England 0-7 at home. They're 3rd in the table with 3 points from 4 games. Spain arrive in superb form, with 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 4. Most recently they beat Czechia 3-1 at home. They're 1st in the table with 12 points from 4 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Croatia have won 1, Spain have won 4 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 4.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Spain narrow favourites: Croatia 17%, draw 41%, Spain 42%. We expect around 3.8 goals (1.4 - 2.4 in expected goals), with 73% for over 2.5 and 68% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Croatia- 3 OctHEngland0-7
- 29 SeptASpain1-4
- 26 SeptACzechia2-1
- 3 JulAPortugal1-2
- 27 JunHGhana2-1
Spain- 3 OctHCzechia3-1
- 29 SeptHCroatia4-1
- 26 SeptAEngland3-2
- 19 JulHArgentina1-0
- 14 JulAFrance2-0
Head to head
Nations League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 12 |
| 2 |  England | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +11 | 9 |
| 3 | Croatia | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -10 | 3 |
| 4 |  Czechia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -8 | 0 |
Croatia vs Spain: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Croatia vs Spain?
+
Spain are favourites. Our model gives Croatia a 17% chance of winning, Spain 42%, and the draw 41%.
Will both teams score in Croatia vs Spain?
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We rate both teams to score at 68%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Croatia vs Spain kick off?
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Croatia vs Spain kicks off at 18:45 UTC on Tuesday, 6 October 2026 at Stadion Poljud, Split.
