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Premier League· Regular Season - 6· Anfield
Liverpool logoLiverpool
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Manchester City logoManchester City
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Liverpool vs Manchester City Prediction & Betting Tips

Sunday, 11 October 2026 · Kick-off

No tip was published for this match before kick-off.

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Match probabilities

27%Liverpool
29%Draw
44%Manchester City
Over 2.5 goals60%
Under 2.5 goals40%
Both teams to score63%
Clean sheet either side37%

More Liverpool vs Manchester City tips

SelectionProbabilityFair oddsBest odds
AH2 +1.5Manchester City +1.5 (Asian Handicap)89%1.121.08
X2Manchester City or Draw73%1.381.37
AH1 +1.5Liverpool +1.5 (Asian Handicap)72%1.401.24
BTTS YesBoth teams to score63%1.591.48
U3.5Under 3.5 goals61%1.641.64
O2.5Over 2.5 goals60%1.671.53
1XLiverpool or Draw56%1.791.76
2Manchester City to win44%2.272.34
U2.5Under 2.5 goals40%2.492.31
O3.5Over 3.5 goals39%2.562.47
BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score37%2.702.50
XDraw29%3.503.84
AH2 -1.5Manchester City -1.5 (Asian Handicap)28%3.533.54
1Liverpool to win27%3.653.37
AH1 -1.5Liverpool -1.5 (Asian Handicap)11%9.126.05

Liverpool vs Manchester City odds comparison

Best price in each market highlighted.

Bookmaker1X2O2.5U2.5BTTSNo BTTS
William Hill3.203.502.10--1.442.50
1xBet3.373.842.181.532.311.482.50
Dafabet2.953.702.34----
Bet3653.203.702.151.572.381.502.50
Marathonbet3.323.782.151.532.311.482.46
Betfair2.903.902.201.572.401.442.63
BetVictor3.133.802.101.552.251.472.50
Pinnacle3.223.742.221.642.38--
SBO2.973.532.18----
Betano3.153.702.151.622.351.522.45

Liverpool vs Manchester City preview & analysis

Match preview

Liverpool host Manchester City in the Premier League (Regular Season - 6) at Anfield on Sunday, 11 October 2026, with kick-off at 15:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.

Team form

Liverpool arrive in superb form, with 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 2. Most recently they beat Bournemouth 1-0 away. They're 9th in the table with 9 points from 6 games. Manchester City arrive in superb form, with 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 3. Most recently they beat Sunderland 5-3 at home. They're 1st in the table with 18 points from 6 games.

Head to head

In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Liverpool have won 2, Manchester City have won 3 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 2.7 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.

What the numbers say

Our model makes Manchester City narrow favourites: Liverpool 27%, draw 29%, Manchester City 44%. We expect around 3.1 goals (1.3 - 1.8 in expected goals), with 60% for over 2.5 and 63% for both teams to score.

Recent form

Liverpool logoLiverpool
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  • 20 SeptABournemouth1-0
  • 15 SeptHTottenham3-1
  • 12 SeptHFulham0-0
  • 9 SeptHAtletico Madrid2-1
  • 4 SeptAIpswich2-0
Manchester City logoManchester City
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  • 20 SeptHSunderland5-3
  • 17 SeptHNorwich5-0
  • 13 SeptAManchester United1-0
  • 8 SeptAFC Porto2-0
  • 5 SeptHCoventry1-0

Head to head

04/04/2026Manchester City4-0Liverpool
08/02/2026Liverpool1-2Manchester City
09/11/2025Manchester City3-0Liverpool
23/02/2025Manchester City0-2Liverpool
01/12/2024Liverpool2-0Manchester City
10/03/2024Liverpool1-1Manchester City

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Manchester City logoManchester City6600+1118
2Arsenal logoArsenal6501+515
3Brighton logoBrighton6411+1313
4Brentford logoBrentford6240+610
5Everton logoEverton6240+310
6Chelsea logoChelsea6312+210
7Leeds logoLeeds6231+39
8Hull City logoHull City6231+29
9Liverpool logoLiverpool623109
10Ipswich logoIpswich6303-39
11Newcastle logoNewcastle6222-38
12Crystal Palace logoCrystal Palace6213-37
13Manchester United logoManchester United613206
14Coventry logoCoventry6204-66
15Nottingham Forest logoNottingham Forest6123-35
16Aston Villa logoAston Villa6123-55
17Sunderland logoSunderland6114-64
18Bournemouth logoBournemouth6033-63
19Tottenham logoTottenham6033-63
20Fulham logoFulham6024-42

Liverpool vs Manchester City: FAQ

Who is the favourite to win Liverpool vs Manchester City?

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Manchester City are favourites. Our model gives Liverpool a 27% chance of winning, Manchester City 44%, and the draw 29%.

Will both teams score in Liverpool vs Manchester City?

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We rate both teams to score at 63%, so BTTS Yes is likely.

When does Liverpool vs Manchester City kick off?

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Liverpool vs Manchester City kicks off at 15:30 UTC on Sunday, 11 October 2026 at Anfield, Liverpool.

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