Ligue 1· Regular Season - 2· Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre Mauroy
Lille
Paris Saint Germain2-2
FT
Lille vs Paris Saint Germain Prediction & Betting Tips
Friday, 28 August 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
Votes: 0How many goals?
Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Lille vs Paris Saint Germain tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Lille +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 84% | 1.19 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Paris Saint Germain +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 75% | 1.34 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 1.43 | - |
| 1XLille or Draw | 70% | 1.44 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 69% | 1.44 | - |
| X2Paris Saint Germain or Draw | 62% | 1.61 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 52% | 1.94 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 48% | 2.06 | - |
| 1Lille to win | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| XDraw | 32% | 3.14 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 31% | 3.26 | - |
| 2Paris Saint Germain to win | 30% | 3.29 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 30% | 3.30 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Lille -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 25% | 3.98 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Paris Saint Germain -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 16% | 6.13 | - |
Lille vs Paris Saint Germain preview & analysis
Match preview
Lille host Paris Saint Germain in the Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 2) at Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre Mauroy on Friday, 28 August 2026, with kick-off at 18:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Lille have won 0, Paris Saint Germain have won 4 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 3.3 goals, and both teams scored in 5 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Lille narrow favourites: Lille 38%, draw 32%, Paris Saint Germain 30%. We expect around 3.6 goals (1.9 - 1.7 in expected goals), with 70% for over 2.5 and 69% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Monaco | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +5 | 14 |
| 2 | Lille | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 13 |
| 3 |  Rennes | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 13 |
| 4 |  Lyon | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 11 |
| 5 |  Paris FC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 11 |
| 6 | Paris Saint Germain | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11 |
| 7 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 8 |
| 8 |  Lorient | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 |  Nice | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 |  Lens | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 7 |
| 11 |  Strasbourg | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 |  Angers | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 |  Marseille | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | +1 | 6 |
| 14 |  Le Mans | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 |  Toulouse | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 |  Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -8 | 6 |
| 17 |  Estac Troyes | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 2 |
Lille vs Paris Saint Germain: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Lille vs Paris Saint Germain?
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Lille are favourites. Our model gives Lille a 38% chance of winning, Paris Saint Germain 30%, and the draw 32%.
Will both teams score in Lille vs Paris Saint Germain?
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We rate both teams to score at 69%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Lille vs Paris Saint Germain kick off?
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Lille vs Paris Saint Germain kicks off at 18:45 UTC on Friday, 28 August 2026 at Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre Mauroy, Lille.
