Ligue 1· Regular Season - 10· Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Lens
Marseille8 Nov
Lens vs Marseille Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 8 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Both teams to score
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
0-1
Fair odds
1.88
Expected goals
1.1 - 1.6
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Lens vs Marseille tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Marseille +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 90% | 1.11 | - |
| X2Marseille or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Lens +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 75% | 1.34 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 71% | 1.40 | - |
| 1XLens or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.97 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.03 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 47% | 2.14 | - |
| 2Marseille to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 29% | 3.50 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Marseille -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 25% | 3.94 | - |
| 1Lens to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Lens -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 10% | 9.88 | - |
Lens vs Marseille preview & analysis
Match preview
Lens host Marseille in the Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 10) at Stade Bollaert-Delelis on Sunday, 8 November 2026, with kick-off at 19:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Lens arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 7. Most recently they lost to Sporting CP 0-2 at home. They're 10th in the table with 7 points from 6 games. Marseille are struggling for results, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 8. Most recently they lost to Olympiakos Piraeus 0-1 at home. They're 13th in the table with 6 points from 6 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Lens have won 3, Marseille have won 3 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 2.7 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Marseille narrow favourites: Lens 23%, draw 38%, Marseille 39%. We expect around 2.7 goals (1.1 - 1.6 in expected goals), with 51% for over 2.5 and 53% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both attacks are firing and neither defence has been keeping clean sheets. We expect goals at both ends. Our pick is Both teams to score, which our model rates at a 53% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Lens 0-1 Marseille.
Recent form
Lens- 13 OctHSporting CP0-2
- 9 OctHLyon2-1
- 2 OctAStandard Liege2-0
- 18 SeptAMonaco1-2
- 13 SeptALe Mans2-2
Marseille- 15 OctHOlympiakos Piraeus0-1
- 11 OctAEstac Troyes2-0
- 20 SeptHParis Saint Germain1-2
- 17 SeptABeşiktaş1-4
- 11 SeptARennes0-1
Head to head
Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Monaco | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +5 | 14 |
| 2 |  Lille | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 13 |
| 3 |  Rennes | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 13 |
| 4 |  Lyon | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 11 |
| 5 |  Paris FC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 11 |
| 6 |  Paris Saint Germain | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11 |
| 7 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 8 |
| 8 |  Lorient | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 |  Nice | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 | Lens | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 7 |
| 11 |  Strasbourg | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 |  Angers | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 | Marseille | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | +1 | 6 |
| 14 |  Le Mans | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 |  Toulouse | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 |  Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -8 | 6 |
| 17 |  Estac Troyes | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 2 |
Lens vs Marseille: FAQ
What is the Lens vs Marseille prediction?
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Our tip is Both teams to score. Our predicted score is Lens 0-1 Marseille.
Who is the favourite to win Lens vs Marseille?
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Marseille are favourites. Our model gives Lens a 23% chance of winning, Marseille 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Lens vs Marseille?
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We rate both teams to score at 53%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Lens vs Marseille kick off?
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Lens vs Marseille kicks off at 19:45 UTC on Sunday, 8 November 2026 at Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens.
