La Liga 2· Regular Season - 11· Estadio Municipal de Butarque
Leganes
Mallorca24 Oct
Leganes vs Mallorca Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
0-1
Fair odds
1.76
Expected goals
1.0 - 1.4
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Leganes vs Mallorca tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Mallorca +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 91% | 1.10 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 78% | 1.28 | - |
| X2Mallorca or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Leganes +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| 1XLeganes or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 53% | 1.90 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 47% | 2.11 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 2.32 | - |
| 2Mallorca to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Mallorca -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 23% | 4.36 | - |
| 1Leganes to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 22% | 4.52 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Leganes -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 9% | 10.71 | - |
Leganes vs Mallorca preview & analysis
Match preview
Leganes host Mallorca in the La Liga 2 (Regular Season - 11) at Estadio Municipal de Butarque on Saturday, 24 October 2026, with kick-off at 14:15 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Leganes are struggling for results, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 13. Most recently they lost to Almeria 0-3 away. They're 16th in the table with 11 points from 9 games. Mallorca arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 2. Most recently they beat Las Palmas 3-1 at home. They're 4th in the table with 17 points from 9 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Leganes have won 1, Mallorca have won 3 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 1.0 goals, and both teams scored in 1 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Mallorca narrow favourites: Leganes 23%, draw 38%, Mallorca 39%. We expect around 2.4 goals (1.0 - 1.4 in expected goals), with 43% for over 2.5 and 47% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 57% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Leganes 0-1 Mallorca.
Recent form
Leganes- 11 OctAAlmeria0-3
- 3 OctACadiz0-4
- 28 SeptHCastellón0-2
- 20 SeptHGranada CF3-2
- 13 SeptATenerife0-2
Mallorca- 11 OctHLas Palmas3-1
- 4 OctAGirona0-0
- 27 SeptHAlmeria0-1
- 19 SeptAReal Sociedad II1-0
- 13 SeptHSabadell2-0
Head to head
La Liga 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Almeria | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +11 | 21 |
| 2 |  Eibar | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +9 | 21 |
| 3 |  Castellón | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +11 | 20 |
| 4 | Mallorca | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 17 |
| 5 |  Sabadell | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 |  Sporting Gijon | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 16 |
| 14 |  Eldense | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 11 |
| 15 |  Las Palmas | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 11 |
| 16 | Leganes | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -8 | 11 |
| 17 |  FC Andorra | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 10 |
| 18 |  Cordoba | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 9 |
Leganes vs Mallorca: FAQ
What is the Leganes vs Mallorca prediction?
+
Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Leganes 0-1 Mallorca.
Who is the favourite to win Leganes vs Mallorca?
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Mallorca are favourites. Our model gives Leganes a 23% chance of winning, Mallorca 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Leganes vs Mallorca?
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We rate both teams to score at 47%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Leganes vs Mallorca kick off?
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Leganes vs Mallorca kicks off at 14:15 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at Estadio Municipal de Butarque, Leganes.
