J1 League· Regular Season - 14· Mercari Stadium
Kashima
Machida Zelvia1-1
FT
Kashima vs Machida Zelvia Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 3 May 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Fan vote
Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
Votes: 0How many goals?
Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Kashima vs Machida Zelvia tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Kashima +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.07 | - |
| 1XKashima or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 80% | 1.25 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Machida Zelvia +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 73% | 1.36 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.68 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 57% | 1.77 | - |
| X2Machida Zelvia or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| 1Kashima to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 43% | 2.30 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.48 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Kashima -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 27% | 3.77 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 20% | 4.98 | - |
| 2Machida Zelvia to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Machida Zelvia -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 15.04 | - |
Kashima vs Machida Zelvia preview & analysis
Match preview
Kashima host Machida Zelvia in the J1 League (Regular Season - 14) at Mercari Stadium on Sunday, 3 May 2026, with kick-off at 07:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Kashima have won 3, Machida Zelvia have won 3 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 2.7 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Kashima narrow favourites: Kashima 44%, draw 38%, Machida Zelvia 18%. We expect around 2.3 goals (1.5 - 0.8 in expected goals), with 40% for over 2.5 and 43% for both teams to score.
Head to head
J1 League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kashima | 18 | 15 | 0 | 3 | +20 | 45 |
| 2 |  FC Tokyo | 18 | 13 | 0 | 5 | +14 | 37 |
| 3 | Machida Zelvia | 18 | 13 | 0 | 5 | +6 | 37 |
| 4 |  Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | -2 | 28 |
| 5 |  Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | -4 | 28 |
| 6 |  Urawa | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | +3 | 25 |
| 7 |  Yokohama F. Marinos | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | -3 | 20 |
| 8 |  Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | -2 | 20 |
| 9 |  Mito Hollyhock | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | -16 | 18 |
| 10 |  JEF United Chiba | 18 | 3 | 0 | 15 | -16 | 12 |
Kashima vs Machida Zelvia: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Kashima vs Machida Zelvia?
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Kashima are favourites. Our model gives Kashima a 44% chance of winning, Machida Zelvia 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Kashima vs Machida Zelvia?
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We rate both teams to score at 43%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does Kashima vs Machida Zelvia kick off?
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Kashima vs Machida Zelvia kicks off at 07:00 UTC on Sunday, 3 May 2026 at Mercari Stadium, Kashima.
