J1 League· Regular Season - 13· Mercari Stadium
Kashima
Cerezo Osaka31 Oct
Kashima vs Cerezo Osaka Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.80
Expected goals
1.9 - 1.0
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Kashima vs Cerezo Osaka tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Kashima +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.08 | - |
| 1XKashima or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Cerezo Osaka +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 68% | 1.48 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 67% | 1.49 | - |
| X2Cerezo Osaka or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 55% | 1.83 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 45% | 2.21 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 45% | 2.24 | - |
| 1Kashima to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 33% | 3.03 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Kashima -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 32% | 3.08 | - |
| 2Cerezo Osaka to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Cerezo Osaka -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 13.10 | - |
Kashima vs Cerezo Osaka preview & analysis
Match preview
Kashima host Cerezo Osaka in the J1 League (Regular Season - 13) at Mercari Stadium on Saturday, 31 October 2026, with kick-off at 06:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Kashima arrive in superb form, with 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat Công An Nhân Dân 1-0 away. They're 6th in the table with 16 points from 9 games. Cerezo Osaka arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 4. Most recently they beat Gainare Tottori 3-2 away. They're 12th in the table with 12 points from 9 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Kashima have won 4, Cerezo Osaka have won 1 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 1.8 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Kashima narrow favourites: Kashima 44%, draw 38%, Cerezo Osaka 18%. We expect around 2.9 goals (1.9 - 1.0 in expected goals), with 55% for over 2.5 and 55% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 55% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Kashima 1-0 Cerezo Osaka.
Recent form
Kashima- 13 OctACông An Nhân Dân1-0
- 9 OctHGamba Osaka2-0
- 23 SeptHVentforet Kofu3-1
- 19 SeptAKawasaki Frontale3-3
- 15 SeptHNewcastle Jets7-1
Cerezo Osaka- 14 OctAGainare Tottori3-2
- 10 OctHYokohama F. Marinos0-0
- 7 OctHKagoshima United2-0
- 29 SeptAFujieda MYFC2-1
- 19 SeptAV-varen Nagasaki1-1
Head to head
J1 League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kashiwa Reysol | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +7 | 21 |
| 2 |  Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +16 | 20 |
| 3 |  Machida Zelvia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +12 | 20 |
| 4 |  FC Tokyo | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 20 |
| 5 |  Vissel Kobe | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 19 |
| 6 | Kashima | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 7 |  Yokohama F. Marinos | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 15 |
| 8 |  Kawasaki Frontale | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +3 | 13 |
| 9 |  Fagiano Okayama | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 |  Shimizu S-pulse | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 |  Urawa | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 12 | Cerezo Osaka | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 12 |
| 13 |  Mito Hollyhock | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 9 |
| 14 |  V-varen Nagasaki | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 |  Nagoya Grampus | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 9 |
| 16 |  Kyoto Sanga | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 8 |
| 17 |  Avispa Fukuoka | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -2 | 7 |
| 18 |  Gamba Osaka | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -8 | 6 |
| 19 |  JEF United Chiba | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 5 |
| 20 |  Tokyo Verdy | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -10 | 4 |
Kashima vs Cerezo Osaka: FAQ
What is the Kashima vs Cerezo Osaka prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Kashima 1-0 Cerezo Osaka.
Who is the favourite to win Kashima vs Cerezo Osaka?
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Kashima are favourites. Our model gives Kashima a 44% chance of winning, Cerezo Osaka 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Kashima vs Cerezo Osaka?
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We rate both teams to score at 55%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Kashima vs Cerezo Osaka kick off?
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Kashima vs Cerezo Osaka kicks off at 06:00 UTC on Saturday, 31 October 2026 at Mercari Stadium, Kashima.
