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Super Lig· Regular Season - 32· Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu
Kasımpaşa logoKasımpaşa
Kocaelispor logoKocaelispor

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Kasımpaşa vs Kocaelispor Prediction & Betting Tips

Sunday, 3 May 2026 · Kick-off

No tip was published for this match before kick-off.

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Who will win?

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✕ Our model got it wrong

How many goals?

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Match probabilities

44%Kasımpaşa
38%Draw
18%Kocaelispor
Over 2.5 goals48%
Under 2.5 goals52%
Both teams to score49%
Clean sheet either side51%

Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.

More Kasımpaşa vs Kocaelispor tips

SelectionProbabilityFair oddsBest odds
AH1 +1.5Kasımpaşa +1.5 (Asian Handicap)93%1.08-
1XKasımpaşa or Draw82%1.23-
U3.5Under 3.5 goals74%1.36-
AH2 +1.5Kocaelispor +1.5 (Asian Handicap)70%1.42-
X2Kocaelispor or Draw56%1.78-
U2.5Under 2.5 goals52%1.93-
BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score51%1.97-
BTTS YesBoth teams to score49%2.03-
O2.5Over 2.5 goals48%2.08-
1Kasımpaşa to win44%2.28-
XDraw38%2.65-
AH1 -1.5Kasımpaşa -1.5 (Asian Handicap)30%3.37-
O3.5Over 3.5 goals26%3.79-
2Kocaelispor to win18%5.43-
AH2 -1.5Kocaelispor -1.5 (Asian Handicap)7%13.91-

Kasımpaşa vs Kocaelispor preview & analysis

Match preview

Kasımpaşa host Kocaelispor in the Super Lig (Regular Season - 32) at Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu on Sunday, 3 May 2026, with kick-off at 17:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.

Head to head

In the last 4 meetings between these sides, Kasımpaşa have won 3, Kocaelispor have won 0 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 3.8 goals, and both teams scored in 1 of them.

What the numbers say

Our model makes Kasımpaşa narrow favourites: Kasımpaşa 44%, draw 38%, Kocaelispor 18%. We expect around 2.6 goals (1.7 - 0.9 in expected goals), with 48% for over 2.5 and 49% for both teams to score.

Head to head

07/01/2026Kasımpaşa2-0Kocaelispor
07/12/2025Kocaelispor0-0Kasımpaşa
28/12/2021Kasımpaşa5-3Kocaelispor
01/11/2012Kasımpaşa5-0Kocaelispor

Super Lig table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Galatasaray logoGalatasaray342455+4777
2Fenerbahçe logoFenerbahçe3421112+4074
3Trabzonspor logoTrabzonspor342095+2269
4Beşiktaş logoBeşiktaş341798+1960
5Başakşehir logoBaşakşehir341699+2357
6Göztepe logoGöztepe3414137+1055
7Samsunspor logoSamsunspor3413129+151
8Rizespor logoRizespor34101113-641
9Konyaspor logoKonyaspor34101014-740
10Kocaelispor logoKocaelispor3491015-1237
11Alanyaspor logoAlanyaspor3471611037
12Gaziantep FK logoGaziantep FK3491015-1537
13Kasımpaşa logoKasımpaşa3481115-1635
14Gençlerbirliği S.K. logoGençlerbirliği S.K.349718-1134
15Eyüpspor logoEyüpspor348917-1533
16Antalyaspor logoAntalyaspor348818-2232
17Kayserispor logoKayserispor3461216-3530
18Fatih Karagümrük logoFatih Karagümrük348620-2330

Kasımpaşa vs Kocaelispor: FAQ

Who is the favourite to win Kasımpaşa vs Kocaelispor?

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Kasımpaşa are favourites. Our model gives Kasımpaşa a 44% chance of winning, Kocaelispor 18%, and the draw 38%.

Will both teams score in Kasımpaşa vs Kocaelispor?

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We rate both teams to score at 49%, so it's close to a coin flip.

When does Kasımpaşa vs Kocaelispor kick off?

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Kasımpaşa vs Kocaelispor kicks off at 17:00 UTC on Sunday, 3 May 2026 at Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu, Istanbul.

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