2. Bundesliga· Regular Season - 8· BBBank Wildpark
Karlsruher SC
SV Darmstadt 9818 Oct
Karlsruher SC vs SV Darmstadt 98 Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 18 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
SV Darmstadt 98 or Draw
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
2-1
Fair odds
1.59
Expected goals
1.7 - 1.6
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Expert analysis
Karlsruhe's Crisis Meets Darmstadt's Momentum
Analysis by Lena Vogel
Bundesliga, Ligue 1 & Eredivisie ·
Bottom-placed Karlsruhe host a Darmstadt side with far superior attacking numbers, making the away-or-draw double chance the standout angle. The recommendation is SV Darmstadt 98 or Draw at 1.62, a strong-probability play rather than a value punt.
Form & Context
The form gap between these sides is significant heading into this basement battle.
- Karlsruhe sit 18th of 18 with just 5 points from 7 games and have lost four of their last five league matches.
- KSC have scored only 4 goals in their last 5, conceding 9, including three straight home defeats.
- Darmstadt have won 3 of their last 5, scoring a remarkable 13 goals in that span.
- The Lilies came from behind to beat Energie Cottbus 3-1 last time out, per the official club update.
- Karlsruhe also lost 0-3 at home to Energie Cottbus, a direct form comparison that favours the visitors.
Team News
Both squads carry absences, but Karlsruhe's attacking situation looks the more fragile.
- KSC are without Moritz Broschinski (long-term ankle) and Héliton, both confirmed out by the club.
- Doubts remain over Rafael Pinto Pedrosa and Louey Ben Farhat, leaving Karlsruhe's forward line uncertain.
- Darmstadt miss Luca Marseiler, Fabian Nürnberger, Merveille Papela and Carlo Sickinger (calf).
- Coach Florian Kohfeldt confirmed Aleksandar Vukotic will start, retaining his trust in the defender, per sv98.de.
Key Matchup
Darmstadt's firepower against Karlsruhe's leaky home defence is the decisive battleground.
- Darmstadt's last 5 games all went over 2.5 goals, with 13 scored and 10 conceded.
- Karlsruhe have conceded in heavy home defeats, shipping 3 goals to Cottbus at the BBBank Wildpark.
- Recent head-to-heads are high-scoring: 3-2, 3-0 and 3-3 feature in the last four meetings.
- The one concern: Darmstadt are chasing an end to a long run without a 2. Bundesliga away win.
- Kohfeldt frames that drought as motivation, insisting his side can play their football on the road.
The Numbers
The model points firmly away from a home win, which is exactly what this tip covers.
- Away win rated at 35% and draw at 28%, against just 37% for a Karlsruhe side in crisis.
- Expected goals are nearly level, 1.71 vs 1.62, but Darmstadt arrive with far more attacking rhythm.
- Over 2.5 goals is rated at 65% and both teams to score at 67%, suggesting an open game.
- The 1.62 on Darmstadt or Draw reflects a strong-probability pick rather than a big-value price.
Three reasons we like this tip
- 1Karlsruhe are bottom with 4 losses in 5 and three straight home defeats
- 2Darmstadt have scored 13 goals in their last 5 matches
- 3Karlsruhe's attack is depleted with Broschinski out and two forwards doubtful
Verdict
Back SV Darmstadt 98 or Draw at best odds of 1.62. Karlsruhe's collapse in form and attacking absences make the double chance on the in-form visitors the sensible, high-probability play.
We use AI tools to help summarise the data and research behind this preview. Every pick, probability and number comes from OhMyTip's own prediction models and the sources listed below.
Match probabilities
More Karlsruher SC vs SV Darmstadt 98 tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Karlsruher SC +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 82% | 1.22 | 1.09 |
| AH2 +1.5SV Darmstadt 98 +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 79% | 1.26 | 1.18 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 67% | 1.50 | 1.40 |
| 1XKarlsruher SC or Draw | 65% | 1.53 | 1.40 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 65% | 1.55 | 1.39 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 55% | 1.80 | 1.69 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 45% | 2.24 | 2.09 |
| 1Karlsruher SC to win | 37% | 2.68 | 2.22 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 35% | 2.83 | 2.59 |
| 2SV Darmstadt 98 to win | 35% | 2.87 | 2.83 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 33% | 3.01 | 2.81 |
| XDraw | 28% | 3.58 | 3.75 |
| AH1 -1.5Karlsruher SC -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 21% | 4.79 | 3.84 |
| AH2 -1.5SV Darmstadt 98 -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 18% | 5.50 | 5.35 |
Karlsruher SC vs SV Darmstadt 98 odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.20 | 3.60 | 2.80 | - | - | 1.40 | 2.70 |
| 1xBet | 2.22 | 3.75 | 2.83 | 1.39 | 2.59 | 1.38 | 2.81 |
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 3.75 | 2.80 | 1.44 | 2.70 | 1.40 | 2.75 |
| Marathonbet | 2.20 | 3.75 | 2.82 | 1.39 | 2.59 | 1.38 | 2.76 |
| BetVictor | 2.20 | 3.75 | 2.75 | 1.44 | 2.53 | 1.36 | 2.88 |
| Pinnacle | 2.26 | 3.83 | 2.91 | 1.48 | 2.68 | - | - |
Recent form
Karlsruher SC- 11 OctAFC St. Pauli0-2
- 2 OctASV Wehen2-1
- 19 SeptH1. FC Nürnberg0-1
- 13 SeptHEnergie Cottbus0-3
- 4 SeptAHannover 962-2
SV Darmstadt 98- 10 OctHEnergie Cottbus3-1
- 30 SeptASan Antonio7-0
- 18 SeptAVfL Wolfsburg1-5
- 11 SeptHArminia Bielefeld2-1
- 5 SeptA1. FC Kaiserslautern0-3
Head to head
2. Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hertha BSC | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | +11 | 22 |
| 2 |  1. FC Nürnberg | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +10 | 18 |
| 3 |  1. FC Heidenheim | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +2 | 14 |
| 4 |  1. FC Magdeburg | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 13 |
| 5 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +7 | 12 |
| 6 |  1. FC Kaiserslautern | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 12 |
| 7 |  FC St. Pauli | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +2 | 10 |
| 8 |  Energie Cottbus | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 9 |  Arminia Bielefeld | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 10 |  VfL Osnabrück | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 11 |  Eintracht Braunschweig | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 12 |  VfL Bochum | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 7 |
| 13 |  Hannover 96 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 7 |
| 14 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 7 |
| 15 |  SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 16 |  Holstein Kiel | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -4 | 5 |
| 17 |  Dynamo Dresden | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 5 |
| 18 | Karlsruher SC | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -8 | 5 |
Karlsruher SC vs SV Darmstadt 98: FAQ
What is the Karlsruher SC vs SV Darmstadt 98 prediction?
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Our tip is SV Darmstadt 98 or Draw at odds of 1.62. Our predicted score is Karlsruher SC 2-1 SV Darmstadt 98.
Who is the favourite to win Karlsruher SC vs SV Darmstadt 98?
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Karlsruher SC are favourites. Our model gives Karlsruher SC a 37% chance of winning, SV Darmstadt 98 35%, and the draw 28%.
Will both teams score in Karlsruher SC vs SV Darmstadt 98?
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We rate both teams to score at 67%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Karlsruher SC vs SV Darmstadt 98 kick off?
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Karlsruher SC vs SV Darmstadt 98 kicks off at 11:30 UTC on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at BBBank Wildpark, Karlsruhe.
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