J1 League· Regular Season - 16· Fukuda Denshi Arena
JEF United Chiba
Nagoya Grampus25 Nov
JEF United Chiba vs Nagoya Grampus Prediction & Betting Tips
Wednesday, 25 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Both teams NOT to score
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.80
Expected goals
1.7 - 0.8
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More JEF United Chiba vs Nagoya Grampus tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5JEF United Chiba +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 95% | 1.05 | - |
| 1XJEF United Chiba or Draw | 88% | 1.14 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 76% | 1.32 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Nagoya Grampus +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 66% | 1.51 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.84 | - |
| X2Nagoya Grampus or Draw | 53% | 1.88 | - |
| 1JEF United Chiba to win | 47% | 2.14 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.19 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 44% | 2.25 | - |
| XDraw | 41% | 2.45 | - |
| AH1 -1.5JEF United Chiba -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 34% | 2.94 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 24% | 4.13 | - |
| 2Nagoya Grampus to win | 12% | 8.06 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Nagoya Grampus -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 5% | 20.56 | - |
JEF United Chiba vs Nagoya Grampus preview & analysis
Match preview
JEF United Chiba host Nagoya Grampus in the J1 League (Regular Season - 16) at Fukuda Denshi Arena on Wednesday, 25 November 2026, with kick-off at 10:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
JEF United Chiba are struggling for results, with 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 9. Most recently they drew with V-varen Nagasaki 1-1 at home. They're 19th in the table with 5 points from 9 games. Nagoya Grampus arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 8. Most recently they drew with Fagiano Okayama 3-3 at home. They're 15th in the table with 9 points from 9 games.
Head to head
In the last 3 meetings between these sides, JEF United Chiba have won 2, Nagoya Grampus have won 1 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 3.7 goals, and both teams scored in 1 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes JEF United Chiba favourites: JEF United Chiba 47%, draw 41%, Nagoya Grampus 12%. We expect around 2.5 goals (1.7 - 0.8 in expected goals), with 46% for over 2.5 and 44% for both teams to score.
Our tip
At least one of these sides should struggle to score, so we're backing BTTS No. Our pick is Both teams NOT to score, which our model rates at a 56% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is JEF United Chiba 1-0 Nagoya Grampus.
Recent form
JEF United Chiba- 11 OctHV-varen Nagasaki1-1
- 7 OctAFagiano Okayama0-1
- 29 SeptAJubilo Iwata2-4
- 19 SeptAShimizu S-pulse1-2
- 13 SeptATokyo Verdy1-1
Nagoya Grampus- 14 OctHFagiano Okayama3-3
- 11 OctAKawasaki Frontale2-1
- 29 SeptAKitakyushu3-1
- 19 SeptAFC Tokyo0-1
- 12 SeptAV-varen Nagasaki0-2
Head to head
J1 League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kashiwa Reysol | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +7 | 21 |
| 2 |  Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +16 | 20 |
| 3 |  Machida Zelvia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +12 | 20 |
| 4 |  FC Tokyo | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 20 |
| 5 |  Vissel Kobe | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 19 |
| 6 |  Kashima | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 7 |  Yokohama F. Marinos | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 15 |
| 8 |  Kawasaki Frontale | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +3 | 13 |
| 9 |  Fagiano Okayama | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 |  Shimizu S-pulse | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 |  Urawa | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 12 |  Cerezo Osaka | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 12 |
| 13 |  Mito Hollyhock | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 9 |
| 14 |  V-varen Nagasaki | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 | Nagoya Grampus | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 9 |
| 16 |  Kyoto Sanga | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 8 |
| 17 |  Avispa Fukuoka | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -2 | 7 |
| 18 |  Gamba Osaka | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -8 | 6 |
| 19 | JEF United Chiba | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 5 |
| 20 |  Tokyo Verdy | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -10 | 4 |
JEF United Chiba vs Nagoya Grampus: FAQ
What is the JEF United Chiba vs Nagoya Grampus prediction?
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Our tip is Both teams NOT to score. Our predicted score is JEF United Chiba 1-0 Nagoya Grampus.
Who is the favourite to win JEF United Chiba vs Nagoya Grampus?
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JEF United Chiba are favourites. Our model gives JEF United Chiba a 47% chance of winning, Nagoya Grampus 12%, and the draw 41%.
Will both teams score in JEF United Chiba vs Nagoya Grampus?
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We rate both teams to score at 44%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does JEF United Chiba vs Nagoya Grampus kick off?
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JEF United Chiba vs Nagoya Grampus kicks off at 10:00 UTC on Wednesday, 25 November 2026 at Fukuda Denshi Arena, Chiba.
